Rational OTC Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

RTLLF -  USA Stock  

USD 990.00  11.88  1.21%

Rational OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Rational historical stock prices and determine the direction of Rational Ag's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Rational historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Additionally, take a look at Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rational to cross-verify your projections.

Rational O TC Stock Forecast 

 
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Most investors in Rational cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Rational's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Rational's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Rational polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Rational Ag as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Rational Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of October

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Rational Ag on the next trading day is expected to be 958.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 36.27, mean absolute percentage error of 1,954, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,212. Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rational OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rational's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rational OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Rational Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rational's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rational's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 955.53 and 961.81, respectively. We have considered Rational's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
990.00
26th of October 2021
955.53
Downside
958.67
Expected Value
961.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rational otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rational otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria125.688
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation36.2699
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0369
SAESum of the absolute errors2212.4651
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Rational historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Rational

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rational Ag. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rational's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Rational in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
986.86990.00993.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
834.76837.901,089
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
839.45975.411,111
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Rational. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Rational's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Rational's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Rational Ag.

Other Forecasting Options for Rational

For every potential investor in Rational, whether a beginner or expert, Rational's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rational OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rational. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rational's price trends.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rational otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rational could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rational by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Rational Ag Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rational's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rational's current price.

Rational Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rational's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rational's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Rational stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Rational Investors Sentiment

The influence of Rational's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Rational. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Current Sentiment - RTLLF

Rational Ag Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are evenly split in their perspective on investing in Rational Ag. What is your perspective on investing in Rational Ag? Are you bullish or bearish?
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50% Bullish
50% Bearish
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Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additionally, take a look at Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rational to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Rational Ag information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Rational's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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When running Rational Ag price analysis, check to measure Rational's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rational is operating at the current time. Most of Rational's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rational's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rational's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rational to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Rational's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rational. If investors know Rational will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rational listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Rational Ag is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rational that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rational's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rational's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rational's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rational's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rational's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Rational value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rational's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.