Ruths Hospitality Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

RUTHDelisted Stock  USD 21.49  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Ruths Hospitality Group on the next trading day is expected to be 20.26 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.78  and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.60. Ruths Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ruths Hospitality stock prices and determine the direction of Ruths Hospitality Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ruths Hospitality's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
  
Most investors in Ruths Hospitality cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Ruths Hospitality's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Ruths Hospitality's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Ruths Hospitality polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Ruths Hospitality Group as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Ruths Hospitality Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Ruths Hospitality Group on the next trading day is expected to be 20.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78, mean absolute percentage error of 1.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ruths Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ruths Hospitality's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ruths Hospitality Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ruths Hospitality stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ruths Hospitality stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.2211
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7803
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0424
SAESum of the absolute errors47.5964
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Ruths Hospitality historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Ruths Hospitality

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ruths Hospitality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ruths Hospitality's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.4921.4921.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.9616.9623.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.4919.5524.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ruths Hospitality. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ruths Hospitality's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ruths Hospitality's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ruths Hospitality.

Ruths Hospitality Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ruths Hospitality stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ruths Hospitality could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ruths Hospitality by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ruths Hospitality Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ruths Hospitality stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ruths Hospitality shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ruths Hospitality stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ruths Hospitality Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ruths Hospitality Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ruths Hospitality's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ruths Hospitality's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ruths stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

Other Consideration for investing in Ruths Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Ruths Hospitality check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Ruths Hospitality's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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