Rodedawg International Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

RWGI Stock  USD 0.03  0  3.85%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rodedawg International Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.01  and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.36. Rodedawg Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Rodedawg International stock prices and determine the direction of Rodedawg International Industries's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rodedawg International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rodedawg International to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Rodedawg International cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Rodedawg International's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Rodedawg International's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Rodedawg International works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Rodedawg International Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rodedawg International Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000065, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rodedawg Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rodedawg International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rodedawg International Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Rodedawg International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rodedawg International's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rodedawg International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 14.81, respectively. We have considered Rodedawg International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.03
0.0003
Downside
0.02
Expected Value
14.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rodedawg International pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rodedawg International pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0013
MADMean absolute deviation0.0061
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.125
SAESum of the absolute errors0.3621
When Rodedawg International Industries prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Rodedawg International Industries trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Rodedawg International observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Rodedawg International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rodedawg International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rodedawg International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0314.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0214.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Rodedawg International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Rodedawg International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Rodedawg International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Rodedawg International.

Other Forecasting Options for Rodedawg International

For every potential investor in Rodedawg, whether a beginner or expert, Rodedawg International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rodedawg Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rodedawg. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rodedawg International's price trends.

Rodedawg International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rodedawg International pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rodedawg International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rodedawg International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rodedawg International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rodedawg International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rodedawg International's current price.

Rodedawg International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rodedawg International pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rodedawg International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rodedawg International pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Rodedawg International Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rodedawg International Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rodedawg International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rodedawg International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rodedawg pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Rodedawg International in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Rodedawg International's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Rodedawg International options trading.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rodedawg International to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Rodedawg International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Rodedawg International's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

Complementary Tools for Rodedawg Pink Sheet analysis

When running Rodedawg International's price analysis, check to measure Rodedawg International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rodedawg International is operating at the current time. Most of Rodedawg International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rodedawg International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rodedawg International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rodedawg International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Rodedawg International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rodedawg International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rodedawg International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.