Prometheus Biosciences Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| RXDXDelisted Stock | USD 199.92 0.24 0.12% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Prometheus Biosciences on the next trading day is expected to be 226.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 19.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,191. Prometheus Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Prometheus Biosciences stock prices and determine the direction of Prometheus Biosciences's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Prometheus Biosciences' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. Prometheus |
Most investors in Prometheus Biosciences cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Prometheus Biosciences' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Prometheus Biosciences' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Prometheus Biosciences price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X. Prometheus Biosciences Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Prometheus Biosciences on the next trading day is expected to be 226.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 19.53, mean absolute percentage error of 516.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,191.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Prometheus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Prometheus Biosciences' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Prometheus Biosciences Stock Forecast Pattern
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Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Prometheus Biosciences stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Prometheus Biosciences stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.3566 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 19.5253 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.125 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1191.0461 |
Predictive Modules for Prometheus Biosciences
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prometheus Biosciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Prometheus Biosciences' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
View Prometheus Biosciences Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Prometheus Biosciences Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Prometheus Biosciences stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Prometheus Biosciences shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Prometheus Biosciences stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Prometheus Biosciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Prometheus Biosciences Risk Indicators
The analysis of Prometheus Biosciences' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Prometheus Biosciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting prometheus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.4 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.764 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.71 | |||
| Variance | 75.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.36 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5836 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.61) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. Note that the Prometheus Biosciences information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Prometheus Biosciences' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Other Consideration for investing in Prometheus Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Prometheus Biosciences check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Prometheus Biosciences' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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