Rexel SA Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| RXEEY Stock | USD 26.73 0.51 1.95% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rexel SA ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 26.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.91. Rexel Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Rexel SA stock prices and determine the direction of Rexel SA ADR's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rexel SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rexel SA to cross-verify your projections. Rexel |
Most investors in Rexel SA cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Rexel SA's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Rexel SA's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Rexel SA - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Rexel SA prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Rexel SA price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Rexel SA ADR. Rexel SA Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rexel SA ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 26.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rexel Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rexel SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Rexel SA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Rexel SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Rexel SA's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rexel SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.14 and 28.45, respectively. We have considered Rexel SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rexel SA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rexel SA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0802 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3652 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0138 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.911 |
Predictive Modules for Rexel SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rexel SA ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rexel SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Rexel SA
For every potential investor in Rexel, whether a beginner or expert, Rexel SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rexel Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rexel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rexel SA's price trends.Rexel SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rexel SA pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rexel SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rexel SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rexel SA ADR Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rexel SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rexel SA's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Rexel SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rexel SA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rexel SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rexel SA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Rexel SA ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Rexel SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Rexel SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rexel SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rexel pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Variance | 2.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.63 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.18 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.50) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rexel SA to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Rexel SA ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Rexel SA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Complementary Tools for Rexel Pink Sheet analysis
When running Rexel SA's price analysis, check to measure Rexel SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rexel SA is operating at the current time. Most of Rexel SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rexel SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rexel SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rexel SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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