Boston Beer Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

SAM Stock  USD 304.42  3.55  1.15%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Boston Beer on the next trading day is expected to be 299.43 with a mean absolute deviation of  16.74  and the sum of the absolute errors of 703.10. Boston Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Boston Beer stock prices and determine the direction of Boston Beer's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Boston Beer's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Boston Beer's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Boston Beer's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Boston Beer fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boston Beer to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Boston Stock, please use our How to Invest in Boston Beer guide.
  
At this time, Boston Beer's Fixed Asset Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 29th of March 2024, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 1.86, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 6.00. . As of the 29th of March 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 12 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 59.5 M.

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Boston Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Boston Beer's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Boston Beer's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Boston Beer stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Boston Beer's open interest, investors have to compare it to Boston Beer's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Boston Beer is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Boston. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Boston Beer cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Boston Beer's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Boston Beer's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Boston Beer is based on a synthetically constructed Boston Beerdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Boston Beer 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Boston Beer on the next trading day is expected to be 299.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 16.74, mean absolute percentage error of 551.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 703.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Boston Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Boston Beer's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Boston Beer Stock Forecast Pattern

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Boston Beer Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Boston Beer's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Boston Beer's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 296.95 and 301.90, respectively. We have considered Boston Beer's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
304.42
296.95
Downside
299.43
Expected Value
301.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Boston Beer stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Boston Beer stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria89.5032
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 13.6866
MADMean absolute deviation16.7404
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0549
SAESum of the absolute errors703.098
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Boston Beer 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Boston Beer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boston Beer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Boston Beer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
301.95304.42306.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
273.98317.21319.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
268.01305.75343.50
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
305.97336.23373.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Boston Beer. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Boston Beer's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Boston Beer's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Boston Beer.

Other Forecasting Options for Boston Beer

For every potential investor in Boston, whether a beginner or expert, Boston Beer's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Boston Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Boston. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Boston Beer's price trends.

Boston Beer Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Boston Beer stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Boston Beer could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Boston Beer by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Boston Beer Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Boston Beer's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Boston Beer's current price.

Boston Beer Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Boston Beer stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Boston Beer shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Boston Beer stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Boston Beer entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Boston Beer Risk Indicators

The analysis of Boston Beer's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Boston Beer's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting boston stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Boston Beer Investors Sentiment

The influence of Boston Beer's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Boston. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Boston Beer's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Boston. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Boston can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Boston Beer. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Boston Beer's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Boston Beer's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Boston Beer's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Boston Beer.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Boston Beer in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Boston Beer's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Boston Beer options trading.

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When determining whether Boston Beer is a strong investment it is important to analyze Boston Beer's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Boston Beer's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Boston Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Boston Beer to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Boston Stock, please use our How to Invest in Boston Beer guide.
Note that the Boston Beer information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Boston Beer's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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When running Boston Beer's price analysis, check to measure Boston Beer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boston Beer is operating at the current time. Most of Boston Beer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boston Beer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boston Beer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boston Beer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Boston Beer's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Boston Beer. If investors know Boston will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Boston Beer listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.675
Earnings Share
6.15
Revenue Per Share
164.399
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
Return On Assets
0.0534
The market value of Boston Beer is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Boston that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Boston Beer's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Boston Beer's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Boston Beer's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Boston Beer's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Boston Beer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Boston Beer is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Boston Beer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.