Sana Biotechnology Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SANA Stock | USD 8.58 0.49 6.06% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sana Biotechnology on the next trading day is expected to be 8.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.75. Sana Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sana Biotechnology stock prices and determine the direction of Sana Biotechnology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sana Biotechnology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Sana Biotechnology's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Sana Biotechnology's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Sana Biotechnology fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sana Biotechnology to cross-verify your projections. Sana |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 Sana Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sana Biotechnology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sana Biotechnology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sana Biotechnology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sana Biotechnology's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sana Biotechnology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sana Biotechnology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sana. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Sana Biotechnology cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Sana Biotechnology's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Sana Biotechnology's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Sana Biotechnology works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality. Sana Biotechnology Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sana Biotechnology on the next trading day is expected to be 8.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sana Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sana Biotechnology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sana Biotechnology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sana Biotechnology | Sana Biotechnology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sana Biotechnology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sana Biotechnology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sana Biotechnology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.46 and 14.69, respectively. We have considered Sana Biotechnology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sana Biotechnology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sana Biotechnology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0606 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3959 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0463 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.7512 |
Predictive Modules for Sana Biotechnology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sana Biotechnology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sana Biotechnology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Sana Biotechnology
For every potential investor in Sana, whether a beginner or expert, Sana Biotechnology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sana Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sana. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sana Biotechnology's price trends.View Sana Biotechnology Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sana Biotechnology Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sana Biotechnology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sana Biotechnology's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sana Biotechnology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sana Biotechnology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sana Biotechnology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sana Biotechnology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sana Biotechnology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sana Biotechnology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sana Biotechnology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sana Biotechnology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sana stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.75 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.94 | |||
| Variance | 35.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 28.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 22.58 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Sana Biotechnology in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Sana Biotechnology's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Sana Biotechnology options trading.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Sana Biotechnology offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Sana Biotechnology's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sana Biotechnology Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sana Biotechnology Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sana Biotechnology to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Sana Stock refer to our How to Trade Sana Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Complementary Tools for Sana Stock analysis
When running Sana Biotechnology's price analysis, check to measure Sana Biotechnology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sana Biotechnology is operating at the current time. Most of Sana Biotechnology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sana Biotechnology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sana Biotechnology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sana Biotechnology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world | |
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital | |
| Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
| My Watchlist Analysis Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like |
Is Sana Biotechnology's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sana Biotechnology. If investors know Sana will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sana Biotechnology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.46) | Return On Assets (0.29) | Return On Equity (0.72) |
The market value of Sana Biotechnology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sana that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sana Biotechnology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sana Biotechnology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sana Biotechnology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sana Biotechnology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sana Biotechnology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sana Biotechnology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sana Biotechnology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.