Shopify Stock Forecast - Variance
| SHOP Stock | USD 68.57 1.43 2.04% |
Shopify Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shopify stock prices and determine the direction of Shopify's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shopify's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Shopify's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Shopify's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Shopify fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shopify to cross-verify your projections. Shopify |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Shopify Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Shopify's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Shopify's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Shopify stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Shopify's open interest, investors have to compare it to Shopify's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Shopify is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Shopify. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Shopify cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Shopify's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Shopify's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
| Previous Variance | Variance | Trend |
| 0 | 0 |
| Check Shopify Volatility | Backtest Shopify | Information Ratio |
Shopify Trading Date Momentum
| On April 16 2024 Shopify was traded for 68.57 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 70.41 and the lowest listed price was 68.39 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on April 16, 2024 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 2.09% . |
| Compare Shopify to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Shopify
For every potential investor in Shopify, whether a beginner or expert, Shopify's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shopify Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shopify. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shopify's price trends.Shopify Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shopify stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shopify could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shopify by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Shopify Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shopify's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shopify's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Shopify Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shopify stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shopify shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shopify stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shopify entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Shopify Risk Indicators
The analysis of Shopify's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shopify's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shopify stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Variance | 3.27 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Shopify Investors Sentiment
The influence of Shopify's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Shopify. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Shopify's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Shopify. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Shopify can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Shopify. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Shopify's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Shopify's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Shopify's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Shopify.
Shopify Implied Volatility | 83.62 |
Shopify's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Shopify stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Shopify's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Shopify stock will not fluctuate a lot when Shopify's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Shopify in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Shopify's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Shopify options trading.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shopify to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Shopify Stock, please use our How to Invest in Shopify guide.You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Shopify Stock analysis
When running Shopify's price analysis, check to measure Shopify's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shopify is operating at the current time. Most of Shopify's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shopify's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shopify's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shopify to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Shopify's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shopify. If investors know Shopify will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shopify listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.858 | Earnings Share 0.1 | Revenue Per Share 5.509 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.236 | Return On Assets 0.0147 |
The market value of Shopify is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shopify that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shopify's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shopify's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shopify's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shopify's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shopify's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shopify is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shopify's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.