Sony Corp Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

SNEJF Stock  USD 82.28  0.95  1.14%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sony Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 82.52 with a mean absolute deviation of  1.16  and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.39. Sony Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sony Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Sony Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sony Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sony Corp to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Sony Corp cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Sony Corp's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Sony Corp's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Sony Corp is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Sony Corp 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sony Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 82.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.16, mean absolute percentage error of 2.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sony Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sony Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sony Corp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Sony Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sony Corp's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sony Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 80.98 and 84.06, respectively. We have considered Sony Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
82.28
82.52
Expected Value
84.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sony Corp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sony Corp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.6843
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.6564
MADMean absolute deviation1.1648
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0132
SAESum of the absolute errors66.3925
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Sony Corp. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Sony Corp and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Sony Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sony Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sony Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.7382.2883.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
71.0072.5590.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sony Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sony Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sony Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sony Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Sony Corp

For every potential investor in Sony, whether a beginner or expert, Sony Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sony Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sony. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sony Corp's price trends.

Sony Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sony Corp pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sony Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sony Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sony Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sony Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sony Corp's current price.

Sony Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sony Corp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sony Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sony Corp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Sony Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sony Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sony Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sony Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sony pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sony Corp to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for Sony Pink Sheet analysis

When running Sony Corp's price analysis, check to measure Sony Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sony Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Sony Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sony Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sony Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sony Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Sony Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sony Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sony Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.