Sentage Holdings Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| SNTG Stock | USD 2.04 0.13 6.81% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Sentage Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.74. Sentage Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sentage Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Sentage Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sentage Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Sentage Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Sentage Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Sentage Holdings fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sentage Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Sentage |
Most investors in Sentage Holdings cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Sentage Holdings' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Sentage Holdings' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Sentage Holdings polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Sentage Holdings as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. Sentage Holdings Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Sentage Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.74.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sentage Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sentage Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sentage Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
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Sentage Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sentage Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sentage Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.93, respectively. We have considered Sentage Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sentage Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sentage Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.3753 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1105 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0451 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.7405 |
Predictive Modules for Sentage Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sentage Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sentage Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Sentage Holdings
For every potential investor in Sentage, whether a beginner or expert, Sentage Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sentage Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sentage. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sentage Holdings' price trends.Sentage Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sentage Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sentage Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sentage Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sentage Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sentage Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sentage Holdings' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sentage Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sentage Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sentage Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sentage Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sentage Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sentage Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sentage Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sentage Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sentage stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.96 | |||
| Variance | 35.48 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Sentage Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sentage Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sentage Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sentage Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sentage Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Sentage Stock please use our How to Invest in Sentage Holdings guide.You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Complementary Tools for Sentage Stock analysis
When running Sentage Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Sentage Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sentage Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Sentage Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sentage Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sentage Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sentage Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Sentage Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sentage Holdings. If investors know Sentage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sentage Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.39) | Earnings Share (1.13) | Revenue Per Share (0.01) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (1.00) | Return On Assets (0.11) |
The market value of Sentage Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sentage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sentage Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sentage Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sentage Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sentage Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sentage Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sentage Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sentage Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.