Sprout Social Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

SPT Stock  USD 52.48  0.36  0.69%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sprout Social on the next trading day is expected to be 52.15 with a mean absolute deviation of  2.02  and the sum of the absolute errors of 108.84. Sprout Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sprout Social stock prices and determine the direction of Sprout Social's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sprout Social's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Sprout Social's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Sprout Social's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Sprout Social fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprout Social to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Sprout Stock please use our How to Invest in Sprout Social guide.
  
At this time, Sprout Social's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to gain to 8.04 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 10.47 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 52.3 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to drop to about (47.5 M) in 2024.

Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 Sprout Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sprout Social's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sprout Social's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sprout Social stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sprout Social's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sprout Social's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sprout Social is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sprout. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Sprout Social cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Sprout Social's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Sprout Social's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Sprout Social is based on an artificially constructed time series of Sprout Social daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Sprout Social 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sprout Social on the next trading day is expected to be 52.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.02, mean absolute percentage error of 5.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 108.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sprout Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sprout Social's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sprout Social Stock Forecast Pattern

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Sprout Social Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sprout Social's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sprout Social's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.44 and 54.86, respectively. We have considered Sprout Social's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
52.48
52.15
Expected Value
54.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sprout Social stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sprout Social stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.9614
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.7396
MADMean absolute deviation2.0156
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0347
SAESum of the absolute errors108.84
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Sprout Social 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Sprout Social

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sprout Social. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sprout Social's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.6052.3155.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.2355.8358.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
50.9751.9652.96
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
57.1962.8569.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sprout Social. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sprout Social's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sprout Social's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sprout Social.

Other Forecasting Options for Sprout Social

For every potential investor in Sprout, whether a beginner or expert, Sprout Social's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sprout Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sprout. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sprout Social's price trends.

Sprout Social Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sprout Social stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sprout Social could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sprout Social by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sprout Social Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sprout Social's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sprout Social's current price.

Sprout Social Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sprout Social stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sprout Social shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sprout Social stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sprout Social entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sprout Social Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sprout Social's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sprout Social's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sprout stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Sprout Social is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Sprout Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Sprout Social Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Sprout Social Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprout Social to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Sprout Stock please use our How to Invest in Sprout Social guide.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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When running Sprout Social's price analysis, check to measure Sprout Social's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sprout Social is operating at the current time. Most of Sprout Social's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sprout Social's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sprout Social's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sprout Social to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Sprout Social's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sprout Social. If investors know Sprout will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sprout Social listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.19)
Revenue Per Share
5.994
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.343
Return On Assets
(0.12)
Return On Equity
(0.46)
The market value of Sprout Social is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sprout that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sprout Social's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sprout Social's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sprout Social's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sprout Social's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sprout Social's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sprout Social is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sprout Social's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.