Silver Wolf Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SWLF Stock  CAD 0.13  0.01  7.14%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Silver Wolf Exploration on the next trading day is expected to be 0.13 with a mean absolute deviation of  0  and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.25. Silver Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Silver Wolf stock prices and determine the direction of Silver Wolf Exploration's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Silver Wolf's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Silver Wolf's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Silver Wolf's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Silver Wolf fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Silver Wolf to cross-verify your projections.
  
Inventory Turnover is likely to drop to -0.06 in 2024. Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 0.07 in 2024. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 28.9 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to drop to about (1.1 M) in 2024.
Most investors in Silver Wolf cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Silver Wolf's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Silver Wolf's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Silver Wolf - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Silver Wolf prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Silver Wolf price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Silver Wolf Exploration.

Silver Wolf Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 20th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Silver Wolf Exploration on the next trading day is expected to be 0.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000042, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Silver Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Silver Wolf's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Silver Wolf Stock Forecast Pattern

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Silver Wolf Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Silver Wolf's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Silver Wolf's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 7.45, respectively. We have considered Silver Wolf's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.13
0.13
Expected Value
7.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Silver Wolf stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Silver Wolf stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -6.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0042
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0455
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2464
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Silver Wolf observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Silver Wolf Exploration observations.

Predictive Modules for Silver Wolf

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silver Wolf Exploration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Silver Wolf's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.137.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.17.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Silver Wolf. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Silver Wolf's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Silver Wolf's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Silver Wolf Exploration.

Other Forecasting Options for Silver Wolf

For every potential investor in Silver, whether a beginner or expert, Silver Wolf's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Silver Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Silver. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Silver Wolf's price trends.

Silver Wolf Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Silver Wolf stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Silver Wolf could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Silver Wolf by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Silver Wolf Exploration Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Silver Wolf's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Silver Wolf's current price.

Silver Wolf Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Silver Wolf stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Silver Wolf shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Silver Wolf stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Silver Wolf Exploration entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Silver Wolf Risk Indicators

The analysis of Silver Wolf's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Silver Wolf's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting silver stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Silver Wolf in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Silver Wolf's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Silver Wolf options trading.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Silver Wolf to cross-verify your projections.
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When running Silver Wolf's price analysis, check to measure Silver Wolf's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Silver Wolf is operating at the current time. Most of Silver Wolf's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Silver Wolf's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Silver Wolf's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Silver Wolf to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Silver Wolf's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Silver Wolf is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Silver Wolf's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.