Thai Beverage Pink Sheet Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

TBVPF Stock  USD 0.36  0.04  12.50%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Thai Beverage Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.36 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.02  and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.89. Thai Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Thai Beverage stock prices and determine the direction of Thai Beverage Public's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Thai Beverage's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Thai Beverage to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Thai Beverage cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Thai Beverage's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Thai Beverage's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Thai Beverage Public is based on a synthetically constructed Thai Beveragedaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Thai Beverage 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Thai Beverage Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0007, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.89.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Thai Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Thai Beverage's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Thai Beverage Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Thai Beverage Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Thai Beverage's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Thai Beverage's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 8.37, respectively. We have considered Thai Beverage's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.36
0.36
Expected Value
8.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Thai Beverage pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Thai Beverage pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria75.9247
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0059
MADMean absolute deviation0.0211
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.058
SAESum of the absolute errors0.886
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Thai Beverage Public 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Thai Beverage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thai Beverage Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Thai Beverage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.368.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.318.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Thai Beverage. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Thai Beverage's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Thai Beverage's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Thai Beverage Public.

Other Forecasting Options for Thai Beverage

For every potential investor in Thai, whether a beginner or expert, Thai Beverage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Thai Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Thai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Thai Beverage's price trends.

Thai Beverage Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Thai Beverage pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Thai Beverage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Thai Beverage by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Thai Beverage Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Thai Beverage's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Thai Beverage's current price.

Thai Beverage Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Thai Beverage pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Thai Beverage shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Thai Beverage pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Thai Beverage Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thai Beverage Risk Indicators

The analysis of Thai Beverage's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Thai Beverage's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting thai pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Thai Beverage in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Thai Beverage's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Thai Beverage options trading.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Thai Beverage to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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When running Thai Beverage's price analysis, check to measure Thai Beverage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thai Beverage is operating at the current time. Most of Thai Beverage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thai Beverage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thai Beverage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thai Beverage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Thai Beverage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Thai Beverage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Thai Beverage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.