Telecom Argentina Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

TEO Stock  USD 7.95  0.23  2.98%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Telecom Argentina SA on the next trading day is expected to be 7.88 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.36  and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.23. Telecom Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Telecom Argentina stock prices and determine the direction of Telecom Argentina SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Telecom Argentina's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Telecom Argentina's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Telecom Argentina's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Telecom Argentina fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Telecom Argentina to cross-verify your projections.
  
At this time, Telecom Argentina's Inventory Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 29th of March 2024, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 14.25, while Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to drop 1.12. . As of the 29th of March 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 282.7 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is likely to grow to about (227.1 B).

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Telecom Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Telecom Argentina's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Telecom Argentina's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Telecom Argentina stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Telecom Argentina's open interest, investors have to compare it to Telecom Argentina's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Telecom Argentina is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Telecom. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Telecom Argentina cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Telecom Argentina's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Telecom Argentina's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Telecom Argentina is based on an artificially constructed time series of Telecom Argentina daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Telecom Argentina 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Telecom Argentina SA on the next trading day is expected to be 7.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Telecom Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Telecom Argentina's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Telecom Argentina Stock Forecast Pattern

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Telecom Argentina Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Telecom Argentina's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Telecom Argentina's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.77 and 10.99, respectively. We have considered Telecom Argentina's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.95
7.88
Expected Value
10.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Telecom Argentina stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Telecom Argentina stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.6054
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0937
MADMean absolute deviation0.356
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0478
SAESum of the absolute errors19.2263
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Telecom Argentina SA 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Telecom Argentina

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telecom Argentina. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Telecom Argentina's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.908.0111.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.046.159.26
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.375.906.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Telecom Argentina. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Telecom Argentina's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Telecom Argentina's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Telecom Argentina.

Other Forecasting Options for Telecom Argentina

For every potential investor in Telecom, whether a beginner or expert, Telecom Argentina's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Telecom Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Telecom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Telecom Argentina's price trends.

Telecom Argentina Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Telecom Argentina stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Telecom Argentina could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Telecom Argentina by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Telecom Argentina Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Telecom Argentina's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Telecom Argentina's current price.

Telecom Argentina Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Telecom Argentina stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Telecom Argentina shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Telecom Argentina stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Telecom Argentina SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Telecom Argentina Risk Indicators

The analysis of Telecom Argentina's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Telecom Argentina's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting telecom stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Telecom Argentina offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Telecom Argentina's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Telecom Argentina Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Telecom Argentina Sa Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Telecom Argentina to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Telecom Argentina information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Telecom Argentina's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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When running Telecom Argentina's price analysis, check to measure Telecom Argentina's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telecom Argentina is operating at the current time. Most of Telecom Argentina's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telecom Argentina's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telecom Argentina's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telecom Argentina to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Telecom Argentina's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Telecom Argentina. If investors know Telecom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Telecom Argentina listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.56)
Earnings Share
(0.70)
Revenue Per Share
4.8 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.10)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Telecom Argentina is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Telecom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Telecom Argentina's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Telecom Argentina's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Telecom Argentina's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Telecom Argentina's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Telecom Argentina's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Telecom Argentina is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Telecom Argentina's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.