Tian Ruixiang Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

TIRX Stock  USD 0.80  0.32  66.67%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Tian Ruixiang Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.63 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.04  and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.36. Tian Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Tian Ruixiang stock prices and determine the direction of Tian Ruixiang Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tian Ruixiang's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Tian Ruixiang's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Tian Ruixiang's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Tian Ruixiang fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tian Ruixiang to cross-verify your projections.
  
Inventory Turnover is likely to rise to 3.67 in 2024, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 0.19 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 221.7 K in 2024. Net Loss is likely to rise to about (4 M) in 2024.
Most investors in Tian Ruixiang cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Tian Ruixiang's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Tian Ruixiang's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Tian Ruixiang Holdings is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Tian Ruixiang 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Tian Ruixiang Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tian Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tian Ruixiang's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tian Ruixiang Stock Forecast Pattern

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Tian Ruixiang Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tian Ruixiang's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tian Ruixiang's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 12.22, respectively. We have considered Tian Ruixiang's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.80
0.63
Expected Value
12.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tian Ruixiang stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tian Ruixiang stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.5847
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0068
MADMean absolute deviation0.0414
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0684
SAESum of the absolute errors2.36
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Tian Ruixiang. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Tian Ruixiang Holdings and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Tian Ruixiang

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tian Ruixiang Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tian Ruixiang's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.8012.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.7212.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tian Ruixiang. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tian Ruixiang's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tian Ruixiang's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tian Ruixiang Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Tian Ruixiang

For every potential investor in Tian, whether a beginner or expert, Tian Ruixiang's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tian Ruixiang's price trends.

Tian Ruixiang Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tian Ruixiang stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tian Ruixiang could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tian Ruixiang by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tian Ruixiang Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tian Ruixiang's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tian Ruixiang's current price.

Tian Ruixiang Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tian Ruixiang stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tian Ruixiang shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tian Ruixiang stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tian Ruixiang Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tian Ruixiang Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tian Ruixiang's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tian Ruixiang's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tian stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Tian Ruixiang in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Tian Ruixiang's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Tian Ruixiang options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Tian Ruixiang Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tian Ruixiang's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tian Ruixiang Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tian Ruixiang Holdings Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tian Ruixiang to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for Tian Stock analysis

When running Tian Ruixiang's price analysis, check to measure Tian Ruixiang's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tian Ruixiang is operating at the current time. Most of Tian Ruixiang's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tian Ruixiang's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tian Ruixiang's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tian Ruixiang to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Tian Ruixiang's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tian Ruixiang. If investors know Tian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tian Ruixiang listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.89)
Revenue Per Share
0.397
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.23)
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(0.07)
The market value of Tian Ruixiang Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tian Ruixiang's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tian Ruixiang's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tian Ruixiang's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tian Ruixiang's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tian Ruixiang's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tian Ruixiang is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tian Ruixiang's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.