Turkiye Garanti OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TKGBY Stock | USD 2.33 0.02 0.85% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi on the next trading day is expected to be 2.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.05. Turkiye OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Turkiye Garanti stock prices and determine the direction of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Turkiye Garanti's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Turkiye Garanti to cross-verify your projections. Turkiye |
Most investors in Turkiye Garanti cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Turkiye Garanti's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Turkiye Garanti's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Turkiye Garanti is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period. Turkiye Garanti Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi on the next trading day is expected to be 2.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Turkiye OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Turkiye Garanti's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Turkiye Garanti OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
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Turkiye Garanti Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Turkiye Garanti's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Turkiye Garanti's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.44, respectively. We have considered Turkiye Garanti's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Turkiye Garanti otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Turkiye Garanti otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.2425 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0664 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.033 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.052 |
Predictive Modules for Turkiye Garanti
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Turkiye Garanti Bankasi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Turkiye Garanti's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Turkiye Garanti
For every potential investor in Turkiye, whether a beginner or expert, Turkiye Garanti's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Turkiye OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Turkiye. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Turkiye Garanti's price trends.Turkiye Garanti Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Turkiye Garanti otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Turkiye Garanti could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Turkiye Garanti by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Technical and Predictive Analytics
The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Turkiye Garanti's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Turkiye Garanti's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Turkiye Garanti Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Turkiye Garanti otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Turkiye Garanti shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Turkiye Garanti otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Turkiye Garanti Bankasi entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Turkiye Garanti Risk Indicators
The analysis of Turkiye Garanti's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Turkiye Garanti's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting turkiye otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.25 | |||
| Variance | 27.58 | |||
| Downside Variance | 24.0 | |||
| Semi Variance | 21.7 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.72) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Turkiye Garanti to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Turkiye Garanti Bankasi information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Turkiye Garanti's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Complementary Tools for Turkiye OTC Stock analysis
When running Turkiye Garanti's price analysis, check to measure Turkiye Garanti's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Turkiye Garanti is operating at the current time. Most of Turkiye Garanti's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Turkiye Garanti's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Turkiye Garanti's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Turkiye Garanti to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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