TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Mutual Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

TLWIX Fund  USD 18.03  0.02  0.11%   
TIAA-CREF Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE stock prices and determine the direction of TIAA CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE to cross-verify your projections.
Most investors in TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for TIAA CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of June 2023

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of TIAA CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX on the next trading day is expected to be 18.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.006807, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TIAA-CREF Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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In the context of forecasting TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.68 and 18.35, respectively. We have considered TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 18.03
Expected Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.6071
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0282
MADMean absolute deviation0.0609
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0034
SAESum of the absolute errors3.53
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for TIAA CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX.

Other Forecasting Options for TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE

For every potential investor in TIAA-CREF, whether a beginner or expert, TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TIAA-CREF Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TIAA-CREF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's price trends.


One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's current price.


The analysis of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's price analysis, check to measure TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE is operating at the current time. Most of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
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