TomCo Energy Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

TMCGF Stock  USD 0.0239  0.0228  2,073%   
TomCo Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TomCo Energy stock prices and determine the direction of TomCo Energy Plc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of TomCo Energy historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TomCo Energy to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in TomCo Energy cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the TomCo Energy's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets TomCo Energy's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
TomCo Energy polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for TomCo Energy Plc as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

TomCo Energy Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of October

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of TomCo Energy Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01211 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.001783, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000999, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TomCo Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TomCo Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TomCo Energy Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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TomCo Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TomCo Energy's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TomCo Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000239 and 126.01, respectively. We have considered TomCo Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 0.0239
0.000239
Downside
0.01211
Expected Value
126.01
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TomCo Energy pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TomCo Energy pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.4348
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0018
MAPEMean absolute percentage error1.3916
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1105
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the TomCo Energy historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for TomCo Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TomCo Energy Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of TomCo Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of TomCo Energy in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0251.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.01436451.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.010.00490.021894
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TomCo Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TomCo Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TomCo Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TomCo Energy Plc.

Other Forecasting Options for TomCo Energy

For every potential investor in TomCo, whether a beginner or expert, TomCo Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TomCo Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TomCo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TomCo Energy's price trends.

TomCo Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TomCo Energy pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TomCo Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TomCo Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
ConocoPhillipsEOG ResourcesCanadian Natural ResOccidental PetroleumPioneer Natural ResourcesHessMicrosoftAmerican AirlinesAlcoa CorpApple IncBest BuyCitigroupSentinelOneCVS Health CorpChevron Corp
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TomCo Energy Plc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TomCo Energy's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TomCo Energy's current price.

TomCo Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TomCo Energy pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TomCo Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TomCo Energy pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify TomCo Energy Plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TomCo Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of TomCo Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TomCo Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting TomCo Energy stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards TomCo Energy in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, TomCo Energy's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from TomCo Energy options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TomCo Energy to cross-verify your projections. Note that the TomCo Energy Plc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other TomCo Energy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Complementary Tools for TomCo Pink Sheet analysis

When running TomCo Energy's price analysis, check to measure TomCo Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TomCo Energy is operating at the current time. Most of TomCo Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TomCo Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TomCo Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TomCo Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between TomCo Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TomCo Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TomCo Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
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