Tymbal Resources Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

TYMB Stock  CAD 0.005  0.005  50.00%   
Tymbal Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Tymbal Resources stock prices and determine the direction of Tymbal Resources's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Tymbal Resources historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tymbal Resources to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Tymbal Resources cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Tymbal Resources' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Tymbal Resources' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Tymbal Resources - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Tymbal Resources prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Tymbal Resources price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Tymbal Resources.

Tymbal Resources Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of June

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tymbal Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00008475, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000042, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.005.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tymbal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tymbal Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tymbal Resources Stock Forecast Pattern

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Tymbal Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tymbal Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tymbal Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00005 and 6.31, respectively. We have considered Tymbal Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 0.005
0.00005
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
6.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tymbal Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tymbal Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation1.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0169
SAESum of the absolute errors0.005
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Tymbal Resources observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Tymbal Resources observations.

Predictive Modules for Tymbal Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tymbal Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tymbal Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Tymbal Resources in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.010.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.00840.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tymbal Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tymbal Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tymbal Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tymbal Resources.

Other Forecasting Options for Tymbal Resources

For every potential investor in Tymbal, whether a beginner or expert, Tymbal Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tymbal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tymbal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tymbal Resources' price trends.

Tymbal Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tymbal Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tymbal Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tymbal Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Strategic MetalsNickel 28 CapitalOroco Resource CorpChatham Rock PhosphateEngold MinesTeck ResourcesEuromax ResourcesVR ResourcesSierra MetalsAmerican AirlinesAlcoa CorpApple IncBest BuyCitigroupSentinelOne
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tymbal Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tymbal Resources' price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tymbal Resources' current price.

Tymbal Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tymbal Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tymbal Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tymbal Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tymbal Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Tymbal Resources without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tymbal Resources to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Tymbal Resources information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Tymbal Resources' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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When running Tymbal Resources' price analysis, check to measure Tymbal Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tymbal Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Tymbal Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tymbal Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tymbal Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tymbal Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Tymbal Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tymbal Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tymbal Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tymbal Resources to cross-verify your projections.
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