UBEX Crypto Coin Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

UBEX Crypto  USD 0.000054  0.000019  54.29%   
UBEX Crypto Coin Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast UBEX historical crypto prices and determine the direction of UBEX's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of UBEX historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Also, please take a look at Historical Fundamental Analysis of UBEX to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in UBEX cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the UBEX's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets UBEX's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
UBEX simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for UBEX are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as UBEX prices get older.

UBEX Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of UBEX on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000042 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000626, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0003754.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict UBEX Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that UBEX's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

UBEX Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern

UBEX Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting UBEX's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. UBEX's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 42.48, respectively. We have considered UBEX's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value 0.000054
0.000001
Downside
0.000042
Expected Value
42.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of UBEX crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent UBEX crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria92.8319
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2464
SAESum of the absolute errors4.0E-4
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting UBEX forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent UBEX observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for UBEX

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UBEX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of UBEX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of UBEX in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.00004942.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.0000361242.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as UBEX. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against UBEX's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, UBEX's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in UBEX.

Other Forecasting Options for UBEX

For every potential investor in UBEX, whether a beginner or expert, UBEX's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. UBEX Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in UBEX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying UBEX's price trends.

UBEX Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with UBEX crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of UBEX could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UBEX by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
EthereumXRPCardanoAptosOKBPolygonOptimismSolanaStaked EtherPolkadotChainlinkAmerican AirlinesAlcoa CorpApple IncBest Buy
 Risk & Return  Correlation

UBEX Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of UBEX's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of UBEX's current price.

UBEX Risk Indicators

The analysis of UBEX's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in UBEX's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting UBEX stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in UBEX without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Also, please take a look at Historical Fundamental Analysis of UBEX to cross-verify your projections. Note that the UBEX information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other UBEX's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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When running UBEX price analysis, check to measure UBEX's coin volatility and technical momentum indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UBEX is operating at the current time. Most of UBEX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price actions to predict the probability of UBEX's future price movements. You can analyze the coin against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UBEX's coin price. Additionally, you may evaluate how adding UBEX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between UBEX's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine UBEX value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, UBEX's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.