Urban One Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| UONEK Stock | USD 1.58 0.03 1.86% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Urban One Class on the next trading day is expected to be 1.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.10. Urban Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Urban One stock prices and determine the direction of Urban One Class's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Urban One's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Urban One's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Urban One's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Urban One fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Urban One to cross-verify your projections. Urban |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Urban Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Urban One's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Urban One's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Urban One stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Urban One's open interest, investors have to compare it to Urban One's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Urban One is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Urban. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Urban One cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Urban One's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Urban One's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Urban One is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Urban One Class value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period. Urban One Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Urban One Class on the next trading day is expected to be 1.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Urban Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Urban One's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Urban One Stock Forecast Pattern
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Urban One Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Urban One's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Urban One's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.23, respectively. We have considered Urban One's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Urban One stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Urban One stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.0346 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1001 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0389 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.1042 |
Predictive Modules for Urban One
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Urban One Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Urban One's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Urban One
For every potential investor in Urban, whether a beginner or expert, Urban One's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Urban Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Urban. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Urban One's price trends.Urban One Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Urban One stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Urban One could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Urban One by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Urban One Class Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Urban One's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Urban One's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Urban One Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Urban One stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Urban One shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Urban One stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Urban One Class entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Urban One Risk Indicators
The analysis of Urban One's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Urban One's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting urban stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.78 | |||
| Variance | 14.3 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Urban One in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Urban One's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Urban One options trading.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Urban One Class is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Urban Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Urban One Class Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Urban One Class Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Urban One to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Urban Stock please use our How to buy in Urban Stock guide.Note that the Urban One Class information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Urban One's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Complementary Tools for Urban Stock analysis
When running Urban One's price analysis, check to measure Urban One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Urban One is operating at the current time. Most of Urban One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Urban One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Urban One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Urban One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments |
Is Urban One's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Urban One. If investors know Urban will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Urban One listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.633 | Earnings Share 0.3 | Revenue Per Share 10.315 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets 0.0569 |
The market value of Urban One Class is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Urban that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Urban One's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Urban One's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Urban One's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Urban One's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Urban One's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Urban One is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Urban One's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.