CAPITAL Forecast - Polynomial Regression

14040HCG8   76.07  0.22  0.29%   
CAPITAL Bond Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CAPITAL stock prices and determine the direction of CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of CAPITAL historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CAPITAL to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in CAPITAL cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the CAPITAL's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets CAPITAL's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
CAPITAL polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

CAPITAL Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL on the next trading day is expected to be 76.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CAPITAL Bond prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CAPITAL's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CAPITAL Bond Forecast Pattern

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CAPITAL Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CAPITAL's Bond value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CAPITAL's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 75.63 and 77.63, respectively. We have considered CAPITAL's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
76.07
76.63
Expected Value
77.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CAPITAL bond data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CAPITAL bond, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.014
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.456
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.006
SAESum of the absolute errors27.814
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the CAPITAL historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for CAPITAL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of CAPITAL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of CAPITAL in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.0776.0777.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.5063.5083.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
74.8675.8576.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CAPITAL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CAPITAL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CAPITAL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL.

Other Forecasting Options for CAPITAL

For every potential investor in CAPITAL, whether a beginner or expert, CAPITAL's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CAPITAL Bond price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CAPITAL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CAPITAL's price trends.

CAPITAL Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CAPITAL bond to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CAPITAL could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CAPITAL by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
AEP TEX INCUS BANK NATIONALAirbnbIncCrowdstrike HoldingsAmerican ExpressSterling ConstructionTFI InternationalOld Dominion FreightBDO Unibank ADRNVIDIAAmerican AirlinesAlcoa CorpApple IncBest BuyCitigroup
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CAPITAL's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CAPITAL's current price.

CAPITAL Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CAPITAL bond reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CAPITAL shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CAPITAL bond market strength indicators, traders can identify CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CAPITAL Risk Indicators

The analysis of CAPITAL's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CAPITAL's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting CAPITAL stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios. One of the essential factors to consider when estimating the risk of default for a bond instrument is its duration, which is the bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates. The duration of CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL bond is primarily affected by its yield, coupon rate, and time to maturity. The duration of a bond will be higher the lower its coupon, lower its yield, and longer the time left to maturity.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards CAPITAL in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, CAPITAL's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from CAPITAL options trading.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CAPITAL to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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When running CAPITAL's price analysis, check to measure CAPITAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CAPITAL is operating at the current time. Most of CAPITAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CAPITAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CAPITAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CAPITAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between CAPITAL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CAPITAL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CAPITAL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.