# United Forecast - Polynomial Regression

 911365BL7 94.57  2.34  2.54%
United Bond Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast United stock prices and determine the direction of United Rentals 525's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of United historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of United to cross-verify your projections.
 United
Most investors in United cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the United's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets United's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
United polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for United Rentals 525 as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

## United Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of October

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of United Rentals 525 on the next trading day is expected to be 93.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54, mean absolute percentage error of 0.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict United Bond prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that United's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

## United Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting United's Bond value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. United's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 93.15 and 94.34, respectively. We have considered United's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
 93.15Downside 93.75 Expected ValueTarget Odds 94.34Upside

## Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of United bond data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent United bond, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
 AIC Akaike Information Criteria 119.2454 Bias Arithmetic mean of the errors None MAD Mean absolute deviation 0.5375 MAPE Mean absolute percentage error 0.0057 SAE Sum of the absolute errors 33.327
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the United historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

## Predictive Modules for United

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Rentals North. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of United's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of United in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
 Low Estimated High 93.97 94.57 95.17
Intrinsic
Valuation
 Low Real High 93.98 94.58 95.18
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
 Low Middle High 92.22 93.65 95.08
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as United. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against United's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, United's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in United Rentals North.

## Other Forecasting Options for United

For every potential investor in United, whether a beginner or expert, United's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. United Bond price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in United. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying United's price trends.

## United Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with United bond to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of United could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return Correlation

## United Rentals North Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of United's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of United's current price.
 Cycle Indicators Math Operators Math Transform Momentum Indicators Overlap Studies Pattern Recognition Price Transform Statistic Functions Volatility Indicators Volume Indicators

## United Risk Indicators

The analysis of United's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in United's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting United stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios. One of the essential factors to consider when estimating the risk of default for a bond instrument is its duration, which is the bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates. The duration of United Rentals 525 bond is primarily affected by its yield, coupon rate, and time to maturity. The duration of a bond will be higher the lower its coupon, lower its yield, and longer the time left to maturity.
 Mean Deviation 0.4039 Standard Deviation 0.5735 Variance 0.3289
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

## Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in United without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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## Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of United to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

## Complementary Tools for United Bond analysis

When running United's price analysis, check to measure United's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United is operating at the current time. Most of United's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between United's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.