Usio Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

USIO Stock  USD 1.75  0.06  3.55%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Usio Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.65 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.07  and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.00. Usio Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Usio stock prices and determine the direction of Usio Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Usio's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Usio's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Usio's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Usio fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Usio to cross-verify your projections.
  
At this time, Usio's Inventory Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of March 2024, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 1.41, while Payables Turnover is likely to drop 31.70. . As of the 28th of March 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 24.6 M, though Net Loss is likely to grow to (4.7 M).

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Usio Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Usio's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Usio's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Usio stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Usio's open interest, investors have to compare it to Usio's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Usio is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Usio. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Usio cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Usio's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Usio's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Usio is based on an artificially constructed time series of Usio daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Usio 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Usio Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Usio Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Usio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Usio Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest UsioUsio Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Usio Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Usio's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Usio's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 4.46, respectively. We have considered Usio's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.75
1.65
Expected Value
4.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Usio stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Usio stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria100.4835
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0123
MADMean absolute deviation0.0741
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0436
SAESum of the absolute errors3.9987
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Usio Inc 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Usio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Usio Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Usio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.754.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.263.075.88
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.677.338.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Usio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Usio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Usio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Usio Inc.

Other Forecasting Options for Usio

For every potential investor in Usio, whether a beginner or expert, Usio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Usio Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Usio. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Usio's price trends.

Usio Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Usio stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Usio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Usio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Usio Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Usio's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Usio's current price.

Usio Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Usio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Usio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Usio stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Usio Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Usio Risk Indicators

The analysis of Usio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Usio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting usio stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Usio in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Usio's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Usio options trading.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Usio Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Usio's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Usio Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Usio Inc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Usio to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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When running Usio's price analysis, check to measure Usio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Usio is operating at the current time. Most of Usio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Usio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Usio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Usio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Usio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Usio. If investors know Usio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Usio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.03)
Revenue Per Share
4.053
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.252
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Return On Equity
(0.05)
The market value of Usio Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Usio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Usio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Usio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Usio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Usio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Usio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Usio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Usio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.