Fresh Grapes Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

VINE Stock  USD 0.74  0.02  2.63%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fresh Grapes LLC on the next trading day is expected to be 0.74 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.03  and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.72. Fresh Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fresh Grapes stock prices and determine the direction of Fresh Grapes LLC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fresh Grapes' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Fresh Grapes' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Fresh Grapes' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Fresh Grapes fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fresh Grapes to cross-verify your projections.
  
The current year's Inventory Turnover is expected to grow to 13.71. The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 9.10. As of March 28, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 13.5 M. The current year's Net Loss is expected to grow to about (8.5 M).
Most investors in Fresh Grapes cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Fresh Grapes' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Fresh Grapes' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Fresh Grapes works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Fresh Grapes Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fresh Grapes LLC on the next trading day is expected to be 0.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fresh Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fresh Grapes' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fresh Grapes Stock Forecast Pattern

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Fresh Grapes Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fresh Grapes' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fresh Grapes' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.35, respectively. We have considered Fresh Grapes' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.74
0.74
Expected Value
5.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fresh Grapes stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fresh Grapes stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0052
MADMean absolute deviation0.0292
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0376
SAESum of the absolute errors1.723
When Fresh Grapes LLC prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Fresh Grapes LLC trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Fresh Grapes observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Fresh Grapes

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fresh Grapes LLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fresh Grapes' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.765.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.665.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fresh Grapes. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fresh Grapes' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fresh Grapes' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fresh Grapes LLC.

Other Forecasting Options for Fresh Grapes

For every potential investor in Fresh, whether a beginner or expert, Fresh Grapes' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fresh Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fresh. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fresh Grapes' price trends.

Fresh Grapes Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fresh Grapes stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fresh Grapes could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fresh Grapes by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fresh Grapes LLC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fresh Grapes' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fresh Grapes' current price.

Fresh Grapes Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fresh Grapes stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fresh Grapes shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fresh Grapes stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fresh Grapes LLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fresh Grapes Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fresh Grapes' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fresh Grapes' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fresh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fresh Grapes in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fresh Grapes' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fresh Grapes options trading.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Fresh Grapes LLC is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fresh Grapes' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fresh Grapes' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fresh Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fresh Grapes to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

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When running Fresh Grapes' price analysis, check to measure Fresh Grapes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fresh Grapes is operating at the current time. Most of Fresh Grapes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fresh Grapes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fresh Grapes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fresh Grapes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fresh Grapes' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fresh Grapes. If investors know Fresh will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fresh Grapes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.69)
Revenue Per Share
0.119
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.36)
Return On Assets
(1.33)
Return On Equity
(4.44)
The market value of Fresh Grapes LLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fresh that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fresh Grapes' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fresh Grapes' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fresh Grapes' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fresh Grapes' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fresh Grapes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fresh Grapes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fresh Grapes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.