Victory Bancorp OTC Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| VTYB Stock | USD 10.11 0.29 2.79% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Victory Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.01. Victory OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Victory Bancorp stock prices and determine the direction of The Victory Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Victory Bancorp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Victory Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. Victory |
Most investors in Victory Bancorp cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Victory Bancorp's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Victory Bancorp's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Victory Bancorp works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality. Victory Bancorp Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of April 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Victory Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Victory OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Victory Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Victory Bancorp OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
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Victory Bancorp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Victory Bancorp's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Victory Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.11 and 12.10, respectively. We have considered Victory Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Victory Bancorp otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Victory Bancorp otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0371 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1358 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0124 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.014 |
Predictive Modules for Victory Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Victory Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Victory Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Victory Bancorp
For every potential investor in Victory, whether a beginner or expert, Victory Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Victory OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Victory. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Victory Bancorp's price trends.Victory Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Victory Bancorp otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Victory Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Victory Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Victory Bancorp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Victory Bancorp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Victory Bancorp's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Victory Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Victory Bancorp otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Victory Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Victory Bancorp otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Victory Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Victory Bancorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Victory Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Victory Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting victory otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Variance | 4.68 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Victory Bancorp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Victory Bancorp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Victory Bancorp options trading.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| LTC | Litecoin | |
| STETH | Staked Ether | |
| LINK | Chainlink |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Victory Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Complementary Tools for Victory OTC Stock analysis
When running Victory Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Victory Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Victory Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Victory Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Victory Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Victory Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Victory Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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