Zoom Video Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| ZM Stock | USD 59.28 0.96 1.59% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zoom Video Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 59.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.31. Zoom Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Zoom Video stock prices and determine the direction of Zoom Video Communications's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Zoom Video's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Zoom Video's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Zoom Video's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Zoom Video fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zoom Video to cross-verify your projections. Zoom |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Zoom Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Zoom Video's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Zoom Video's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Zoom Video stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Zoom Video's open interest, investors have to compare it to Zoom Video's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Zoom Video is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Zoom. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Zoom Video cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Zoom Video's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Zoom Video's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Zoom Video works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality. Zoom Video Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of April 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zoom Video Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 59.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89, mean absolute percentage error of 1.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zoom Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zoom Video's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Zoom Video Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Zoom Video | Zoom Video Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Zoom Video Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Zoom Video's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zoom Video's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 57.44 and 61.20, respectively. We have considered Zoom Video's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zoom Video stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zoom Video stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.2154 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8866 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0135 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 52.31 |
Predictive Modules for Zoom Video
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zoom Video Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Zoom Video's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Zoom Video
For every potential investor in Zoom, whether a beginner or expert, Zoom Video's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zoom Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zoom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zoom Video's price trends.Zoom Video Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zoom Video stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zoom Video could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zoom Video by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Zoom Video Communications Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Zoom Video's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Zoom Video's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Zoom Video Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zoom Video stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zoom Video shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zoom Video stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zoom Video Communications entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Zoom Video Risk Indicators
The analysis of Zoom Video's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zoom Video's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zoom stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Variance | 3.59 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Zoom Video Investors Sentiment
The influence of Zoom Video's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Zoom. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Zoom Video's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Zoom. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Zoom can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Zoom Video Communications. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Zoom Video's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Zoom Video's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Zoom Video's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Zoom Video.
Zoom Video Implied Volatility | 48.67 |
Zoom Video's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Zoom Video Communications stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Zoom Video's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Zoom Video stock will not fluctuate a lot when Zoom Video's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Zoom Video in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Zoom Video's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Zoom Video options trading.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| LTC | Litecoin | |
| STETH | Staked Ether | |
| LINK | Chainlink |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zoom Video to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Complementary Tools for Zoom Stock analysis
When running Zoom Video's price analysis, check to measure Zoom Video's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zoom Video is operating at the current time. Most of Zoom Video's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zoom Video's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zoom Video's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zoom Video to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Funds Screener Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges | |
| Crypto Correlations Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins | |
| Cryptocurrency Center Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites |
Is Zoom Video's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Zoom Video. If investors know Zoom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Zoom Video listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.841 | Earnings Share 2.07 | Revenue Per Share 15.053 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.026 | Return On Assets 0.0414 |
The market value of Zoom Video Communications is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Zoom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Zoom Video's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Zoom Video's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Zoom Video's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Zoom Video's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Zoom Video's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Zoom Video is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Zoom Video's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.