Double Exponential Smoothing Indicator

Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for equity instruments works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.Investors can use prediction functions to forecast historical stock prices and determine the direction of financial instruments such as stocks, funds, or ETFs's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Investing Opportunities.

Search Private Forecast 

 
Refresh
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for equity instruments works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.
When price prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any price trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent equity instruments observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Double Exponential Smoothing In A Nutshell

Smoothing is a term used when we are trying to turn the data into smoother trends. If you note on some indicators, they move in a wild manner and are choppy. The ideal indicator moves smoothly, giving use a potentially more accurate reading. If you saw an RSI that moved quickly, it may deter you from using that tool because you may not have the ability to form an opinion quick enough. However, if you are day trading, you may decide the quick movements are what you need.

If you have not done so or are new to exponential smoothing, check out simple exponential smoothing. It will give you a better understanding of double exponential smoothing and what the differences may be between the two. One of the main differences between the two is that simple exponential smoothing tends to lack when the market is trending.

Closer Look at Double Exponential Smoothing

You can smooth any amount of data into double, triple, and so on. The equation that goes into the double exponential smoothing can be difficult and off putting. However, it is important to understand the basic information that is taken into account as you want to understand what makes it move. It may not be necessary to understand the full equation however unless you are building a proprietary instrument. MacroAxis offers many different tools and researching aids that you can narrow in on exactly what fits your needs best. Throw in numbers and begin testing out certain aspects.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Investor Education without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

Did you try this?

Run Risk-Return Analysis Now

   

Risk-Return Analysis

View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
All  Next Launch Module

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Investor Education using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

Build Optimal Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

Fix your portfolio
By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
Check out Investing Opportunities. Note that the Investor Education information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Investor Education statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

Other Tools for Investor Private

When running Investor Education price analysis, check to measure Investor Education market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Investor Education is operating at the current time. Most of Investor Education value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Investor Education future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Investor Education price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Investor Education to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Probability Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Go
Bond Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Go
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Go
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Go
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Go
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Go
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Go
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Go