NIKKEI 225 (Japan) Probability of Future Index Price Finishing Over 27448.01

N225 -  Japan Index  

 27,782  187.80  0.67%

NIKKEI 225's future price is the expected price of NIKKEI 225 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NIKKEI 225 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Check out NIKKEI 225 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, NIKKEI 225 Correlation, NIKKEI 225 Hype Analysis, NIKKEI 225 Volatility, NIKKEI 225 History as well as NIKKEI 225 Performance. Please specify NIKKEI 225 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like NIKKEI 225 odds to be computed.
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NIKKEI 225 Target Price Odds to finish over 27448.01

The tendency of NIKKEI Index price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  27,448  in 90 days
 27,782 90 days 27,448  about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NIKKEI 225 to stay above  27,448  in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This NIKKEI 225 probability density function shows the probability of NIKKEI Index to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NIKKEI 225 price to stay between  27,448  and its current price of 27782.42 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.19 .
 NIKKEI 225 Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for NIKKEI 225

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NIKKEI 225. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of NIKKEI 225's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of NIKKEI 225 in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
27,58027,58227,583
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
21,51221,51430,340
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NIKKEI 225. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NIKKEI 225's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NIKKEI 225's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in NIKKEI 225.

NIKKEI 225 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NIKKEI 225 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NIKKEI 225's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NIKKEI 225, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NIKKEI 225 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

NIKKEI 225 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NIKKEI 225 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NIKKEI 225 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NIKKEI 225 generates negative expected return over the last 90 days

NIKKEI 225 Technical Analysis

NIKKEI 225's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NIKKEI Index technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NIKKEI 225. In general, you should focus on analyzing NIKKEI Index price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NIKKEI 225 Predictive Forecast Models

NIKKEI 225 time-series forecasting models is one of many NIKKEI 225's index analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary NIKKEI 225's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NIKKEI 225

Checking the ongoing alerts about NIKKEI 225 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NIKKEI 225 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

NIKKEI 225 Alerts

NIKKEI 225 Alerts and Suggestions

NIKKEI 225 generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Check out NIKKEI 225 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, NIKKEI 225 Correlation, NIKKEI 225 Hype Analysis, NIKKEI 225 Volatility, NIKKEI 225 History as well as NIKKEI 225 Performance. Note that the NIKKEI 225 information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other NIKKEI 225's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

Other Tools for NIKKEI Index

When running NIKKEI 225 price analysis, check to measure NIKKEI 225's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NIKKEI 225 is operating at the current time. Most of NIKKEI 225's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NIKKEI 225's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NIKKEI 225's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NIKKEI 225 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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