NQPH (Philippine) Chance of Future Index Price Finishing Over 941.05

NQPH -  Philippine Index  

 947.18  0.23  0.0243%

NQPH's future price is the expected price of NQPH instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NQPH performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Check out NQPH Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, NQPH Correlation, NQPH Hype Analysis, NQPH Volatility, NQPH History as well as NQPH Performance. Please specify NQPH time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like NQPH odds to be computed.
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NQPH Target Price Odds to finish over 941.05

The tendency of NQPH Index price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  941.05  in 90 days
 947.18 90 days 941.05  about 91.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NQPH to stay above  941.05  in 90 days from now is about 91.76 (This NQPH probability density function shows the probability of NQPH Index to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NQPH price to stay between  941.05  and its current price of 947.18 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.42 .
 NQPH Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for NQPH

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NQPH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of NQPH's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of NQPH in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
945.92947.18948.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
852.46972.64973.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
936.52937.78939.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
916.111,0031,089
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NQPH. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NQPH's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NQPH's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in NQPH.

NQPH Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NQPH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NQPH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NQPH, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NQPH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

NQPH Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NQPH for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NQPH can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NQPH generates negative expected return over the last 90 days

NQPH Technical Analysis

NQPH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NQPH Index technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NQPH. In general, you should focus on analyzing NQPH Index price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NQPH Predictive Forecast Models

NQPH time-series forecasting models is one of many NQPH's index analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary NQPH's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NQPH

Checking the ongoing alerts about NQPH for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NQPH help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

NQPH Alerts

NQPH Alerts and Suggestions

NQPH generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Check out NQPH Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, NQPH Correlation, NQPH Hype Analysis, NQPH Volatility, NQPH History as well as NQPH Performance. Note that the NQPH information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other NQPH's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Search module to search for activelly traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

Other Tools for NQPH Index

When running NQPH price analysis, check to measure NQPH's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NQPH is operating at the current time. Most of NQPH's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NQPH's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NQPH's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NQPH to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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