DEUTSCHE Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.14

AAAPX
 Fund
  

USD 11.50  0.18  1.54%   

DEUTSCHE REAL's future price is the expected price of DEUTSCHE REAL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DEUTSCHE REAL ASSETS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to DEUTSCHE REAL Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, DEUTSCHE REAL Correlation, DEUTSCHE REAL Hype Analysis, DEUTSCHE REAL Volatility, DEUTSCHE REAL History as well as DEUTSCHE REAL Performance. Please specify DEUTSCHE REAL time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like DEUTSCHE REAL odds to be computed.

DEUTSCHE REAL Target Price Odds to finish below 11.14

The tendency of DEUTSCHE Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.14  or more in 90 days
 11.50 90 days 11.14 
about 45.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DEUTSCHE REAL to drop to $ 11.14  or more in 90 days from now is about 45.49 (This DEUTSCHE REAL ASSETS probability density function shows the probability of DEUTSCHE Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DEUTSCHE REAL ASSETS price to stay between $ 11.14  and its current price of $11.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.76 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon DEUTSCHE REAL has a beta of 0.0494. This suggests as returns on the market go up, DEUTSCHE REAL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DEUTSCHE REAL ASSETS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. DEUTSCHE REAL ASSETS is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   DEUTSCHE REAL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DEUTSCHE REAL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DEUTSCHE REAL ASSETS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of DEUTSCHE REAL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of DEUTSCHE REAL in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
10.2011.5012.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.1511.4512.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.2311.5312.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.4211.1611.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as DEUTSCHE REAL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against DEUTSCHE REAL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, DEUTSCHE REAL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in DEUTSCHE REAL ASSETS.

DEUTSCHE REAL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DEUTSCHE REAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DEUTSCHE REAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DEUTSCHE REAL ASSETS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DEUTSCHE REAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.0494
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

DEUTSCHE REAL Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DEUTSCHE REAL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DEUTSCHE REAL ASSETS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DEUTSCHE REAL ASSETS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

DEUTSCHE REAL Technical Analysis

DEUTSCHE REAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DEUTSCHE Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DEUTSCHE REAL ASSETS. In general, you should focus on analyzing DEUTSCHE Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DEUTSCHE REAL Predictive Forecast Models

DEUTSCHE REAL time-series forecasting models is one of many DEUTSCHE REAL's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary DEUTSCHE REAL's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DEUTSCHE REAL ASSETS

Checking the ongoing alerts about DEUTSCHE REAL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DEUTSCHE REAL ASSETS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DEUTSCHE REAL ASSETS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Please continue to DEUTSCHE REAL Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, DEUTSCHE REAL Correlation, DEUTSCHE REAL Hype Analysis, DEUTSCHE REAL Volatility, DEUTSCHE REAL History as well as DEUTSCHE REAL Performance. You can also try Commodity Channel Index module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running DEUTSCHE REAL ASSETS price analysis, check to measure DEUTSCHE REAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DEUTSCHE REAL is operating at the current time. Most of DEUTSCHE REAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DEUTSCHE REAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DEUTSCHE REAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DEUTSCHE REAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between DEUTSCHE REAL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine DEUTSCHE REAL value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DEUTSCHE REAL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.