AAC Holdings Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.72
| AACDelisted Stock | USD 10.79 0.02 0.19% |
AAC |
AAC Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 9.72
The tendency of AAC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.72 or more in 90 days |
| 10.79 | 90 days | 9.72 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AAC Holdings to drop to $ 9.72 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This AAC Holdings probability density function shows the probability of AAC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AAC Holdings price to stay between $ 9.72 and its current price of $10.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.86 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon AAC Holdings has a beta of 0.5. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AAC Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AAC Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AAC Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. AAC Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AAC Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AAC Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AAC Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AAC Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AAC Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AAC Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AAC Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AAC Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
AAC Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AAC Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AAC Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AAC Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| AAC Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company has 1.5 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 6.13, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. AAC Holdings has a current ratio of 0.17, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist AAC Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AAC Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AAC Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AAC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AAC Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| AAC Holdings has about 749.51 K in cash with (2.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
AAC Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AAC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AAC Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AAC Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 100 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 38 K |
AAC Holdings Technical Analysis
AAC Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AAC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AAC Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing AAC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AAC Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
AAC Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many AAC Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AAC Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AAC Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about AAC Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AAC Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AAC Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| AAC Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company has 1.5 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 6.13, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. AAC Holdings has a current ratio of 0.17, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist AAC Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AAC Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AAC Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AAC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AAC Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| AAC Holdings has about 749.51 K in cash with (2.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. Note that the AAC Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AAC Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Other Consideration for investing in AAC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in AAC Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the AAC Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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