Abmif Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.49

AAZYX -  USA Fund  

USD 11.36  0.00  0.00%

Abmif Ii-Arizona's future price is the expected price of Abmif Ii-Arizona instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Abmif Ii-Arizona Portfolio performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Abmif Price Probability 

 
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Please continue to Abmif Ii-Arizona Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Abmif Ii-Arizona Correlation, Abmif Ii-Arizona Hype Analysis, Abmif Ii-Arizona Volatility, Abmif Ii-Arizona History as well as Abmif Ii-Arizona Performance. Please specify Abmif Ii-Arizona time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Abmif Ii-Arizona odds to be computed.
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Abmif Ii-Arizona Target Price Odds to finish below 10.49

The tendency of Abmif Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.49  or more in 90 days
 11.36 90 days 10.49  near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Abmif Ii-Arizona to drop to $ 10.49  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Abmif Ii-Arizona Portfolio probability density function shows the probability of Abmif Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Abmif Ii-Arizona Por price to stay between $ 10.49  and its current price of $11.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Abmif Ii-Arizona has a beta of 0.0235. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Abmif Ii-Arizona average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Abmif Ii-Arizona Portfolio will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Abmif Ii-Arizona Por is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Abmif Ii-Arizona Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Abmif Ii-Arizona

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Abmif Ii-Arizona Por. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Abmif Ii-Arizona's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Abmif Ii-Arizona in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
11.3011.3611.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.3211.3811.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Abmif Ii-Arizona. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Abmif Ii-Arizona's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Abmif Ii-Arizona's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Abmif Ii-Arizona Por.

Abmif Ii-Arizona Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Abmif Ii-Arizona is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Abmif Ii-Arizona's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Abmif Ii-Arizona Portfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Abmif Ii-Arizona within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.03
β
Beta against DOW0.0235
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.81

Abmif Ii-Arizona Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Abmif Ii-Arizona for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Abmif Ii-Arizona Por can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Abmif Ii-Arizona Por generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Abmif Ii-Arizona Por is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 30th of September 2021 Abmif Ii-Arizona paid $ 0.0225 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund holds about 95.49% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Abmif Ii-Arizona Technical Analysis

Abmif Ii-Arizona's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Abmif Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Abmif Ii-Arizona Portfolio. In general, you should focus on analyzing Abmif Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Abmif Ii-Arizona Predictive Forecast Models

Abmif Ii-Arizona time-series forecasting models is one of many Abmif Ii-Arizona's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Abmif Ii-Arizona's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Abmif Ii-Arizona Por

Checking the ongoing alerts about Abmif Ii-Arizona for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Abmif Ii-Arizona Por help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Abmif Ii-Arizona Alerts

Abmif Ii-Arizona Alerts and Suggestions

Abmif Ii-Arizona Por generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Abmif Ii-Arizona Por is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 30th of September 2021 Abmif Ii-Arizona paid $ 0.0225 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund holds about 95.49% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Please continue to Abmif Ii-Arizona Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Abmif Ii-Arizona Correlation, Abmif Ii-Arizona Hype Analysis, Abmif Ii-Arizona Volatility, Abmif Ii-Arizona History as well as Abmif Ii-Arizona Performance. Note that the Abmif Ii-Arizona Por information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Abmif Ii-Arizona's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

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When running Abmif Ii-Arizona Por price analysis, check to measure Abmif Ii-Arizona's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Abmif Ii-Arizona is operating at the current time. Most of Abmif Ii-Arizona's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Abmif Ii-Arizona's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Abmif Ii-Arizona's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Abmif Ii-Arizona to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Abmif Ii-Arizona's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Abmif Ii-Arizona value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Abmif Ii-Arizona's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.