Abcam Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.88

ABCM
 Stock
  

USD 15.03  0.35  2.38%   

Abcam Plc's future price is the expected price of Abcam Plc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Abcam Plc ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The Price to Book Value is projected to pull down to 5.46. The value of Price to Earnings Ratio is estimated to pull down to 831.75.
  
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Please continue to Abcam Plc Backtesting, Abcam Plc Valuation, Abcam Plc Correlation, Abcam Plc Hype Analysis, Abcam Plc Volatility, Abcam Plc History as well as Abcam Plc Performance. Please specify Abcam Plc time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Abcam Plc odds to be computed.
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Abcam Plc Target Price Odds to finish over 13.88

The tendency of Abcam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 13.88  in 90 days
 15.03 90 days 13.88  about 81.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Abcam Plc to stay above $ 13.88  in 90 days from now is about 81.13 (This Abcam Plc ADR probability density function shows the probability of Abcam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Abcam Plc ADR price to stay between $ 13.88  and its current price of $15.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.49 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This suggests Abcam Plc ADR market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Abcam Plc is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Abcam Plc ADR is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Abcam Plc Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Abcam Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Abcam Plc ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Abcam Plc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Abcam Plc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
12.1414.9317.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
13.4418.6721.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
13.0315.8218.61
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
21.0022.6725.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Abcam Plc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Abcam Plc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Abcam Plc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Abcam Plc ADR.

Abcam Plc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Abcam Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Abcam Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Abcam Plc ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Abcam Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.14
β
Beta against DOW1.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Abcam Plc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Abcam Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Abcam Plc ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Abcam Plc ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Abcam Plc ADR was previously known as ABCAM PLC and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol ABCZY.
Abcam Plc ADR has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings

Abcam Plc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Abcam Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Abcam Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abcam Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.29%
Float Shares198.24M
Shares Short Prior Month599.88k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day125.55k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month127.07k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022

Abcam Plc Technical Analysis

Abcam Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Abcam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Abcam Plc ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Abcam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Abcam Plc Predictive Forecast Models

Abcam Plc time-series forecasting models is one of many Abcam Plc's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Abcam Plc's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Abcam Plc ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about Abcam Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Abcam Plc ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Abcam Plc Alerts

Abcam Plc Alerts and Suggestions

Abcam Plc ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Abcam Plc ADR was previously known as ABCAM PLC and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol ABCZY.
Abcam Plc ADR has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Please continue to Abcam Plc Backtesting, Abcam Plc Valuation, Abcam Plc Correlation, Abcam Plc Hype Analysis, Abcam Plc Volatility, Abcam Plc History as well as Abcam Plc Performance. Note that the Abcam Plc ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Abcam Plc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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When running Abcam Plc ADR price analysis, check to measure Abcam Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Abcam Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Abcam Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Abcam Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Abcam Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Abcam Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Abcam Plc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Abcam Plc. If investors know Abcam will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Abcam Plc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.58
Market Capitalization
3.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.23
Return On Assets
0.0326
Return On Equity
0.0069
The market value of Abcam Plc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Abcam that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Abcam Plc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Abcam Plc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Abcam Plc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Abcam Plc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Abcam Plc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Abcam Plc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Abcam Plc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.