Abeona Therapeutics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.96
| ABEO Stock | USD 4.14 0.70 20.35% |
Closest to current price Abeona long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Abeona |
Abeona Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish below 2.96
The tendency of Abeona Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 2.96 or more in 90 days |
| 4.14 | 90 days | 2.96 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Abeona Therapeutics to drop to $ 2.96 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Abeona Therapeutics probability density function shows the probability of Abeona Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Abeona Therapeutics price to stay between $ 2.96 and its current price of $4.14 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.27 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Abeona Therapeutics has a beta of -1.0. This suggests Additionally Abeona Therapeutics has an alpha of 0.0603, implying that it can generate a 0.0603 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Abeona Therapeutics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Abeona Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Abeona Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Abeona Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Abeona Therapeutics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Abeona Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Abeona Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Abeona Therapeutics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Abeona Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0044 |
Abeona Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Abeona Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Abeona Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Abeona Therapeutics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Abeona Therapeutics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (54.19 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (28 M). | |
| Abeona Therapeutics currently holds about 20.1 M in cash with (37.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.38. | |
| Abeona Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: The Law Offices of Frank R. Cruz Announces Investigation of Abeona Therapeutics Inc. on Behalf of Investors |
Abeona Therapeutics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Abeona Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Abeona Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abeona Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 52.6 M |
Abeona Therapeutics Technical Analysis
Abeona Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Abeona Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Abeona Therapeutics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Abeona Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Abeona Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models
Abeona Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Abeona Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Abeona Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Abeona Therapeutics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Abeona Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Abeona Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Abeona Therapeutics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Abeona Therapeutics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (54.19 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (28 M). | |
| Abeona Therapeutics currently holds about 20.1 M in cash with (37.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.38. | |
| Abeona Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: The Law Offices of Frank R. Cruz Announces Investigation of Abeona Therapeutics Inc. on Behalf of Investors |
Check out Abeona Therapeutics Backtesting, Abeona Therapeutics Valuation, Abeona Therapeutics Correlation, Abeona Therapeutics Hype Analysis, Abeona Therapeutics Volatility, Abeona Therapeutics History as well as Abeona Therapeutics Performance. To learn how to invest in Abeona Stock, please use our How to Invest in Abeona Therapeutics guide.Note that the Abeona Therapeutics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Abeona Therapeutics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Complementary Tools for Abeona Stock analysis
When running Abeona Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Abeona Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Abeona Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Abeona Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Abeona Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Abeona Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Abeona Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments | |
| AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| Earnings Calls Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm |
Is Abeona Therapeutics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Abeona Therapeutics. If investors know Abeona will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Abeona Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.53) | Revenue Per Share 0.164 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (1.00) | Return On Assets (0.47) | Return On Equity (2.61) |
The market value of Abeona Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Abeona that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Abeona Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Abeona Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Abeona Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Abeona Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Abeona Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Abeona Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Abeona Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.