Aci Worldwide Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 32.25
| ACIW Stock | USD 32.25 0.30 0.94% |
Closest to current price ACI long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
ACI |
ACI Worldwide Target Price Odds to finish over 32.25
The tendency of ACI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 32.25 | 90 days | 32.25 | about 21.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ACI Worldwide to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 21.02 (This ACI Worldwide probability density function shows the probability of ACI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.59 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ACI Worldwide will likely underperform. Additionally ACI Worldwide has an alpha of 0.0086, implying that it can generate a 0.008635 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ACI Worldwide Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ACI Worldwide
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ACI Worldwide. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ACI Worldwide's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ACI Worldwide Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ACI Worldwide is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ACI Worldwide's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ACI Worldwide, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ACI Worldwide within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
ACI Worldwide Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ACI Worldwide for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ACI Worldwide can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ACI Worldwide is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Should You Investigate ACI Worldwide, Inc. At US31.95 |
ACI Worldwide Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ACI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ACI Worldwide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ACI Worldwide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 164.2 M |
ACI Worldwide Technical Analysis
ACI Worldwide's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ACI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ACI Worldwide. In general, you should focus on analyzing ACI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ACI Worldwide Predictive Forecast Models
ACI Worldwide's time-series forecasting models is one of many ACI Worldwide's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ACI Worldwide's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ACI Worldwide
Checking the ongoing alerts about ACI Worldwide for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ACI Worldwide help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ACI Worldwide is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Should You Investigate ACI Worldwide, Inc. At US31.95 |
Check out ACI Worldwide Backtesting, ACI Worldwide Valuation, ACI Worldwide Correlation, ACI Worldwide Hype Analysis, ACI Worldwide Volatility, ACI Worldwide History as well as ACI Worldwide Performance. For more information on how to buy ACI Stock please use our How to Invest in ACI Worldwide guide.You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Complementary Tools for ACI Stock analysis
When running ACI Worldwide's price analysis, check to measure ACI Worldwide's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ACI Worldwide is operating at the current time. Most of ACI Worldwide's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ACI Worldwide's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ACI Worldwide's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ACI Worldwide to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ACI Worldwide's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ACI Worldwide. If investors know ACI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ACI Worldwide listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.397 | Earnings Share 1.12 | Revenue Per Share 13.388 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.055 | Return On Assets 0.0467 |
The market value of ACI Worldwide is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ACI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ACI Worldwide's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ACI Worldwide's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ACI Worldwide's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ACI Worldwide's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ACI Worldwide's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ACI Worldwide is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ACI Worldwide's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.