Absolute Capital Defender Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.9

ACMIX Fund  USD 10.88  0.05  0.46%   
Absolute Capital's future price is the expected price of Absolute Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Absolute Capital Defender performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Absolute Capital Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Absolute Capital Correlation, Absolute Capital Hype Analysis, Absolute Capital Volatility, Absolute Capital History as well as Absolute Capital Performance.
  
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Absolute Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 9.9

The tendency of Absolute Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 9.90  in 90 days
 10.88 90 days 9.90 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Absolute Capital to stay above $ 9.90  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Absolute Capital Defender probability density function shows the probability of Absolute Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Absolute Capital Defender price to stay between $ 9.90  and its current price of $10.88 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Absolute Capital has a beta of 0.53. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Absolute Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Absolute Capital Defender will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Absolute Capital Defender has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Absolute Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Absolute Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Absolute Capital Defender. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Absolute Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5410.8811.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4710.8111.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.5610.9011.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.8110.8510.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Absolute Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Absolute Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Absolute Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Absolute Capital Defender.

Absolute Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Absolute Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Absolute Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Absolute Capital Defender, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Absolute Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0039
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.53
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Absolute Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Absolute Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Absolute Capital Defender can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 5.55% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Absolute Capital Technical Analysis

Absolute Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Absolute Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Absolute Capital Defender. In general, you should focus on analyzing Absolute Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Absolute Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Absolute Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Absolute Capital's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Absolute Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Absolute Capital Defender

Checking the ongoing alerts about Absolute Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Absolute Capital Defender help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 5.55% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

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When running Absolute Capital's price analysis, check to measure Absolute Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Absolute Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Absolute Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Absolute Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Absolute Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Absolute Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Absolute Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Absolute Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Absolute Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.