The A2 Milk Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 4.50

ACOPY Stock  USD 4.50  0.20  4.26%   
A2 Milk's future price is the expected price of A2 Milk instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The A2 Milk performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out A2 Milk Backtesting, A2 Milk Valuation, A2 Milk Correlation, A2 Milk Hype Analysis, A2 Milk Volatility, A2 Milk History as well as A2 Milk Performance.
  
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A2 Milk Target Price Odds to finish over 4.50

The tendency of ACOPY Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.50 90 days 4.50 
about 7.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of A2 Milk to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.72 (This The A2 Milk probability density function shows the probability of ACOPY Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon The A2 Milk has a beta of -0.16. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding A2 Milk are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, The A2 Milk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The A2 Milk has an alpha of 0.3121, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   A2 Milk Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for A2 Milk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as A2 Milk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of A2 Milk's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.314.506.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.463.655.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.184.376.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.484.184.89
Details

A2 Milk Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. A2 Milk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the A2 Milk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The A2 Milk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of A2 Milk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.31
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

A2 Milk Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ACOPY Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential A2 Milk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. A2 Milk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding736.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments887.3 M

A2 Milk Technical Analysis

A2 Milk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ACOPY Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The A2 Milk. In general, you should focus on analyzing ACOPY Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

A2 Milk Predictive Forecast Models

A2 Milk's time-series forecasting models is one of many A2 Milk's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary A2 Milk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards A2 Milk in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, A2 Milk's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from A2 Milk options trading.

Additional Tools for ACOPY Pink Sheet Analysis

When running A2 Milk's price analysis, check to measure A2 Milk's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy A2 Milk is operating at the current time. Most of A2 Milk's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of A2 Milk's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move A2 Milk's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of A2 Milk to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.