ACWIX Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 18.06

ACWIX -  USA Fund  

USD 18.06  0.44  2.50%

Amg Managers' future price is the expected price of Amg Managers instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amg Managers Lmcg performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

ACWIX Price Probability 

 
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Please continue to Amg Managers Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Amg Managers Correlation, Amg Managers Hype Analysis, Amg Managers Volatility, Amg Managers History as well as Amg Managers Performance. Please specify Amg Managers time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Amg Managers odds to be computed.
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Amg Managers Target Price Odds to finish over 18.06

The tendency of ACWIX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.06 90 days 18.06  about 37.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amg Managers to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 37.22 (This Amg Managers Lmcg probability density function shows the probability of ACWIX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Amg Managers has a beta of 0.92. This suggests Amg Managers Lmcg market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Amg Managers is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0227, implying that it can generate a 0.0227 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Amg Managers Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Amg Managers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amg Managers Lmcg. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amg Managers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Amg Managers in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
17.2118.0618.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
17.2018.0518.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.8117.6518.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.9318.4619.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amg Managers. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amg Managers' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amg Managers' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Amg Managers Lmcg.

Amg Managers Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amg Managers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amg Managers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amg Managers Lmcg, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amg Managers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.022688
β
Beta against DOW0.92
σ
Overall volatility
0.46
Ir
Information ratio 0.025336

Amg Managers Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amg Managers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amg Managers Lmcg can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amg Managers Lmcg is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund holds 98.7% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Amg Managers Technical Analysis

Amg Managers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ACWIX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amg Managers Lmcg. In general, you should focus on analyzing ACWIX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amg Managers Predictive Forecast Models

Amg Managers time-series forecasting models is one of many Amg Managers' mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Amg Managers' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amg Managers Lmcg

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amg Managers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amg Managers Lmcg help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Amg Managers Alerts

Amg Managers Alerts and Suggestions

Amg Managers Lmcg is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund holds 98.7% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Please continue to Amg Managers Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Amg Managers Correlation, Amg Managers Hype Analysis, Amg Managers Volatility, Amg Managers History as well as Amg Managers Performance. Note that the Amg Managers Lmcg information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Amg Managers' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

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When running Amg Managers Lmcg price analysis, check to measure Amg Managers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amg Managers is operating at the current time. Most of Amg Managers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amg Managers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amg Managers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amg Managers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Amg Managers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Amg Managers value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amg Managers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.