Acceleware OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.27

ACWRF -  USA Stock  

USD 0.27  0.02  6.90%

Acceleware's future price is the expected price of Acceleware instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Acceleware performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Acceleware Price Probability 

 
Refresh
Please continue to Acceleware Backtesting, Acceleware Valuation, Acceleware Correlation, Acceleware Hype Analysis, Acceleware Volatility, Acceleware History as well as Acceleware Performance. Please specify Acceleware time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Acceleware odds to be computed.
Apply Odds

Acceleware Target Price Odds to finish over 0.27

The tendency of Acceleware OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.27 90 days 0.27  about 26.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acceleware to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 26.73 (This Acceleware probability density function shows the probability of Acceleware OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Acceleware has a beta of 0.0225. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Acceleware average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Acceleware will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.3718, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Acceleware Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Acceleware

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acceleware. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acceleware's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Acceleware in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.010.284.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.010.224.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0055480.284.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.250.270.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Acceleware. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Acceleware's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Acceleware's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Acceleware.

Acceleware Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acceleware is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acceleware's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acceleware, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acceleware within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.37
β
Beta against DOW0.0225
σ
Overall volatility
0.016132
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Acceleware Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acceleware for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acceleware can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Acceleware has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Acceleware has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 899.28 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 899.28 K.
Acceleware has accumulated about 2.31 M in cash with (2.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: Acceleware Ltd. Reports Third Quarter 2021 Financial and Operating Results - marketscreener.com

Acceleware Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Acceleware OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Acceleware's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acceleware's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares85.53M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.67k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.42k

Acceleware Technical Analysis

Acceleware's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Acceleware OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acceleware. In general, you should focus on analyzing Acceleware OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Acceleware Predictive Forecast Models

Acceleware time-series forecasting models is one of many Acceleware's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Acceleware's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Acceleware

Checking the ongoing alerts about Acceleware for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Acceleware help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Acceleware Alerts

Acceleware Alerts and Suggestions

Acceleware has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Acceleware has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 899.28 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 899.28 K.
Acceleware has accumulated about 2.31 M in cash with (2.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: Acceleware Ltd. Reports Third Quarter 2021 Financial and Operating Results - marketscreener.com
Please continue to Acceleware Backtesting, Acceleware Valuation, Acceleware Correlation, Acceleware Hype Analysis, Acceleware Volatility, Acceleware History as well as Acceleware Performance. Note that the Acceleware information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Acceleware's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Acceleware OTC Stock analysis

When running Acceleware price analysis, check to measure Acceleware's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acceleware is operating at the current time. Most of Acceleware's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acceleware's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acceleware's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acceleware to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Stock Screener
Find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Go
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Go
Shere Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Go
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Go
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Go
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Go
Is Acceleware's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Acceleware. If investors know Acceleware will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Acceleware listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Acceleware is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Acceleware that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Acceleware's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Acceleware's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Acceleware's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Acceleware's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Acceleware's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Acceleware value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Acceleware's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.