Adt Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.23
| ADT Stock | USD 6.23 0.13 2.04% |
Closest to current price ADT long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
ADT |
ADT Target Price Odds to finish over 6.23
The tendency of ADT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 6.23 | 90 days | 6.23 | about 89.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ADT to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.44 (This ADT Inc probability density function shows the probability of ADT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.61 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ADT will likely underperform. Additionally ADT Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. ADT Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ADT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ADT Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ADT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ADT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ADT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ADT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ADT Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ADT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
ADT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ADT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ADT Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has 7.94 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.1, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. ADT Inc has a current ratio of 0.5, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist ADT until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ADT's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ADT Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ADT to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ADT's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 4.98 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (64.54 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.36 B. | |
| ADT Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 95.0% of ADT shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 4th of April 2024 ADT paid $ 0.055 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Sigal Zarmi of tradable shares of ADT at 6.22 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
ADT Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ADT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ADT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ADT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 911.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 129.9 M |
ADT Technical Analysis
ADT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ADT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ADT Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing ADT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ADT Predictive Forecast Models
ADT's time-series forecasting models is one of many ADT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ADT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ADT Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about ADT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ADT Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has 7.94 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.1, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. ADT Inc has a current ratio of 0.5, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist ADT until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ADT's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ADT Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ADT to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ADT's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 4.98 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (64.54 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.36 B. | |
| ADT Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 95.0% of ADT shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 4th of April 2024 ADT paid $ 0.055 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Sigal Zarmi of tradable shares of ADT at 6.22 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out ADT Backtesting, ADT Valuation, ADT Correlation, ADT Hype Analysis, ADT Volatility, ADT History as well as ADT Performance. Note that the ADT Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ADT's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Complementary Tools for ADT Stock analysis
When running ADT's price analysis, check to measure ADT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ADT is operating at the current time. Most of ADT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ADT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ADT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ADT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ADT's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ADT. If investors know ADT will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ADT listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.832 | Dividend Share 0.14 | Earnings Share (0.07) | Revenue Per Share 5.466 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of ADT Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ADT that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ADT's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ADT's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ADT's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ADT's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ADT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ADT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ADT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.