Adtheorent Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.0
| ADTH Stock | USD 3.24 0.06 1.89% |
AdTheorent |
AdTheorent Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 11.0
The tendency of AdTheorent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 11.00 or more in 90 days |
| 3.24 | 90 days | 11.00 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AdTheorent Holding to move over $ 11.00 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This AdTheorent Holding probability density function shows the probability of AdTheorent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AdTheorent Holding price to stay between its current price of $ 3.24 and $ 11.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AdTheorent Holding has a beta of 0.52. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AdTheorent Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AdTheorent Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AdTheorent Holding has an alpha of 0.4274, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AdTheorent Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AdTheorent Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AdTheorent Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AdTheorent Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AdTheorent Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AdTheorent Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AdTheorent Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AdTheorent Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AdTheorent Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
AdTheorent Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AdTheorent Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AdTheorent Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AdTheorent Holding had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| AdTheorent Holding has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is AdTheorent Stock Outpacing Its Business Services Peers This Year |
AdTheorent Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AdTheorent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AdTheorent Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AdTheorent Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 92.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 70.3 M |
AdTheorent Holding Technical Analysis
AdTheorent Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AdTheorent Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AdTheorent Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing AdTheorent Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AdTheorent Holding Predictive Forecast Models
AdTheorent Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many AdTheorent Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AdTheorent Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AdTheorent Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about AdTheorent Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AdTheorent Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AdTheorent Holding had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| AdTheorent Holding has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is AdTheorent Stock Outpacing Its Business Services Peers This Year |
Check out AdTheorent Holding Backtesting, AdTheorent Holding Valuation, AdTheorent Holding Correlation, AdTheorent Holding Hype Analysis, AdTheorent Holding Volatility, AdTheorent Holding History as well as AdTheorent Holding Performance. For more detail on how to invest in AdTheorent Stock please use our How to Invest in AdTheorent Holding guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Complementary Tools for AdTheorent Stock analysis
When running AdTheorent Holding's price analysis, check to measure AdTheorent Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AdTheorent Holding is operating at the current time. Most of AdTheorent Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AdTheorent Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AdTheorent Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AdTheorent Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AdTheorent Holding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AdTheorent Holding. If investors know AdTheorent will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AdTheorent Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.83) | Revenue Per Share 1.941 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.152 | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of AdTheorent Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AdTheorent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AdTheorent Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AdTheorent Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AdTheorent Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AdTheorent Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AdTheorent Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AdTheorent Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AdTheorent Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.