Aehr Test Systems Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.0
| AEHR Stock | USD 11.14 0.58 5.49% |
Closest to current price Aehr long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Aehr |
Aehr Test Target Price Odds to finish over 5.0
The tendency of Aehr Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 5.00 in 90 days |
| 11.14 | 90 days | 5.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aehr Test to stay above $ 5.00 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Aehr Test Systems probability density function shows the probability of Aehr Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aehr Test Systems price to stay between $ 5.00 and its current price of $11.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.01 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.66 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aehr Test will likely underperform. Additionally Aehr Test Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Aehr Test Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aehr Test
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aehr Test Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aehr Test's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aehr Test Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aehr Test is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aehr Test's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aehr Test Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aehr Test within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.81 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Aehr Test Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aehr Test for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aehr Test Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aehr Test Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aehr Test Systems has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Disposition of 383 shares by Sporck Alistair N of Aehr Test at 10.82 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Aehr Test Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aehr Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aehr Test's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aehr Test's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 47.9 M |
Aehr Test Technical Analysis
Aehr Test's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aehr Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aehr Test Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aehr Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aehr Test Predictive Forecast Models
Aehr Test's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aehr Test's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aehr Test's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aehr Test Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aehr Test for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aehr Test Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aehr Test Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aehr Test Systems has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Disposition of 383 shares by Sporck Alistair N of Aehr Test at 10.82 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Aehr Test Backtesting, Aehr Test Valuation, Aehr Test Correlation, Aehr Test Hype Analysis, Aehr Test Volatility, Aehr Test History as well as Aehr Test Performance. Note that the Aehr Test Systems information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aehr Test's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Complementary Tools for Aehr Stock analysis
When running Aehr Test's price analysis, check to measure Aehr Test's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aehr Test is operating at the current time. Most of Aehr Test's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aehr Test's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aehr Test's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aehr Test to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aehr Test's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aehr Test. If investors know Aehr will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aehr Test listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.538 | Earnings Share 0.52 | Revenue Per Share 2.506 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.56) | Return On Assets 0.0885 |
The market value of Aehr Test Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aehr that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aehr Test's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aehr Test's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aehr Test's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aehr Test's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aehr Test's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aehr Test is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aehr Test's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.