Arena Fortify Acquisition Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.27

AFACDelisted Stock  USD 10.27  0.00  0.00%   
Arena Fortify's future price is the expected price of Arena Fortify instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Arena Fortify Acquisition performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
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Arena Fortify Target Price Odds to finish over 10.27

The tendency of Arena Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.27 90 days 10.27 
about 8.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arena Fortify to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.7 (This Arena Fortify Acquisition probability density function shows the probability of Arena Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Arena Fortify Acquisition has a beta of -0.0186. This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Arena Fortify are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Arena Fortify Acquisition is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0229, implying that it can generate a 0.0229 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Arena Fortify Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Arena Fortify

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arena Fortify Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arena Fortify's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Arena Fortify in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2710.2710.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.698.6911.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2810.2810.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.2410.2710.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Arena Fortify. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Arena Fortify's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Arena Fortify's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Arena Fortify Acquisition.

Arena Fortify Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arena Fortify is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arena Fortify's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arena Fortify Acquisition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arena Fortify within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.88

Arena Fortify Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arena Fortify for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arena Fortify Acquisition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arena Fortify is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Arena Fortify has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company currently holds 3.45 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.14, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Arena Fortify Acquisition has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Arena Fortify until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Arena Fortify's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Arena Fortify Acquisition sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Arena to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Arena Fortify's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Arena Fortify Acquisition currently holds about 159.39 K in cash with (904.48 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Over 90.0% of Arena Fortify shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Arena Fortify Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arena Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arena Fortify's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arena Fortify's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float14.3 M
Short Percent2.0E-4

Arena Fortify Technical Analysis

Arena Fortify's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arena Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arena Fortify Acquisition. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arena Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Arena Fortify Predictive Forecast Models

Arena Fortify's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arena Fortify's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arena Fortify's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Arena Fortify Acquisition

Checking the ongoing alerts about Arena Fortify for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arena Fortify Acquisition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arena Fortify is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Arena Fortify has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company currently holds 3.45 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.14, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Arena Fortify Acquisition has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Arena Fortify until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Arena Fortify's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Arena Fortify Acquisition sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Arena to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Arena Fortify's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Arena Fortify Acquisition currently holds about 159.39 K in cash with (904.48 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Over 90.0% of Arena Fortify shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Note that the Arena Fortify Acquisition information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Arena Fortify's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

Other Consideration for investing in Arena Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Arena Fortify Acquisition check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Arena Fortify's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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