Arena Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.06

AFAC
 Stock
  

USD 10.10  0.01  0.1%   

Arena Fortify's future price is the expected price of Arena Fortify instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Arena Fortify Acquisition performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to Arena Fortify Backtesting, Arena Fortify Valuation, Arena Fortify Correlation, Arena Fortify Hype Analysis, Arena Fortify Volatility, Arena Fortify History as well as Arena Fortify Performance. Please specify Arena Fortify time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Arena Fortify odds to be computed.

Arena Fortify Target Price Odds to finish over 10.06

The tendency of Arena Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 10.06  in 90 days
 10.10 90 days 10.06 
about 23.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arena Fortify to stay above $ 10.06  in 90 days from now is about 23.91 (This Arena Fortify Acquisition probability density function shows the probability of Arena Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arena Fortify Acquisition price to stay between $ 10.06  and its current price of $10.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.24 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Arena Fortify has a beta of 0.016. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Arena Fortify average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Arena Fortify Acquisition will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0014, implying that it can generate a 0.00144 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Arena Fortify Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Arena Fortify

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arena Fortify Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arena Fortify's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Arena Fortify in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.9410.1010.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
9.9110.0710.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Arena Fortify. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Arena Fortify's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Arena Fortify's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Arena Fortify Acquisition.

Arena Fortify Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arena Fortify is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arena Fortify's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arena Fortify Acquisition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arena Fortify within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.00144
β
Beta against DOW0.016
σ
Overall volatility
0.028182
Ir
Information ratio 0.31

Arena Fortify Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arena Fortify for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arena Fortify Acquisition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company currently holds 3.45 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.14, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Arena Fortify Acquisition has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Arena Fortify until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Arena Fortify's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Arena Fortify Acquisition sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Arena to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Arena Fortify's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Arena Fortify Acquisition currently holds about 348.71 K in cash with (715.16 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Over 87.0% of Arena Fortify shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Arena Fortify Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arena Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arena Fortify's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arena Fortify's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.03%
Short Percent Of Float0.03%
Float Shares14.3M
Shares Short Prior Month4.37k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day4.07k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month14.43k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Arena Fortify Technical Analysis

Arena Fortify's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arena Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arena Fortify Acquisition. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arena Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Arena Fortify Predictive Forecast Models

Arena Fortify time-series forecasting models is one of many Arena Fortify's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Arena Fortify's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Arena Fortify Acquisition

Checking the ongoing alerts about Arena Fortify for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arena Fortify Acquisition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Arena Fortify Alerts

Arena Fortify Alerts and Suggestions

The company currently holds 3.45 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.14, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Arena Fortify Acquisition has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Arena Fortify until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Arena Fortify's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Arena Fortify Acquisition sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Arena to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Arena Fortify's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Arena Fortify Acquisition currently holds about 348.71 K in cash with (715.16 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Over 87.0% of Arena Fortify shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Please continue to Arena Fortify Backtesting, Arena Fortify Valuation, Arena Fortify Correlation, Arena Fortify Hype Analysis, Arena Fortify Volatility, Arena Fortify History as well as Arena Fortify Performance. Note that the Arena Fortify Acquisition information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Arena Fortify's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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When running Arena Fortify Acquisition price analysis, check to measure Arena Fortify's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arena Fortify is operating at the current time. Most of Arena Fortify's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arena Fortify's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arena Fortify's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arena Fortify to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Arena Fortify's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arena Fortify. If investors know Arena will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arena Fortify listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Arena Fortify Acquisition is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arena that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arena Fortify's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arena Fortify's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arena Fortify's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arena Fortify's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arena Fortify's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Arena Fortify value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arena Fortify's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.