Agrifycorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.08
| AGFY Stock | USD 0.30 0.07 18.92% |
AgrifyCorp |
AgrifyCorp Target Price Odds to finish below 0.08
The tendency of AgrifyCorp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.08 or more in 90 days |
| 0.30 | 90 days | 0.08 | about 1.84 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AgrifyCorp to drop to $ 0.08 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.84 (This AgrifyCorp probability density function shows the probability of AgrifyCorp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AgrifyCorp price to stay between $ 0.08 and its current price of $0.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.07 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.09 . This suggests AgrifyCorp market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, AgrifyCorp is expected to follow. Additionally AgrifyCorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. AgrifyCorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AgrifyCorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AgrifyCorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AgrifyCorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AgrifyCorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AgrifyCorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AgrifyCorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AgrifyCorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AgrifyCorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -1.3 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
AgrifyCorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AgrifyCorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AgrifyCorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AgrifyCorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AgrifyCorp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| AgrifyCorp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AgrifyCorp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 58.26 M. Net Loss for the year was (188.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.23 M. | |
| AgrifyCorp currently holds about 12.01 M in cash with (72.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.26, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| AgrifyCorp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Ancillary Cannabis Co.s Stock Surges On News Of Merger With California Provider Of CEA Products And Solution |
AgrifyCorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AgrifyCorp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AgrifyCorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AgrifyCorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 208.6 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.9 M |
AgrifyCorp Technical Analysis
AgrifyCorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AgrifyCorp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AgrifyCorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing AgrifyCorp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AgrifyCorp Predictive Forecast Models
AgrifyCorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many AgrifyCorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AgrifyCorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AgrifyCorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about AgrifyCorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AgrifyCorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AgrifyCorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AgrifyCorp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| AgrifyCorp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AgrifyCorp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 58.26 M. Net Loss for the year was (188.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.23 M. | |
| AgrifyCorp currently holds about 12.01 M in cash with (72.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.26, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| AgrifyCorp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Ancillary Cannabis Co.s Stock Surges On News Of Merger With California Provider Of CEA Products And Solution |
Check out AgrifyCorp Backtesting, AgrifyCorp Valuation, AgrifyCorp Correlation, AgrifyCorp Hype Analysis, AgrifyCorp Volatility, AgrifyCorp History as well as AgrifyCorp Performance. For more information on how to buy AgrifyCorp Stock please use our How to Invest in AgrifyCorp guide.Note that the AgrifyCorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AgrifyCorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for AgrifyCorp Stock analysis
When running AgrifyCorp's price analysis, check to measure AgrifyCorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AgrifyCorp is operating at the current time. Most of AgrifyCorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AgrifyCorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AgrifyCorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AgrifyCorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AgrifyCorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AgrifyCorp. If investors know AgrifyCorp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AgrifyCorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 87.43 | Revenue Per Share 16.853 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.55) | Return On Assets (0.62) | Return On Equity (18.32) |
The market value of AgrifyCorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AgrifyCorp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AgrifyCorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AgrifyCorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AgrifyCorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AgrifyCorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AgrifyCorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AgrifyCorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AgrifyCorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.