Aesthetic Medical Intl Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.01

AIH Stock  USD 0.33  0.01  2.94%   
Aesthetic Medical's future price is the expected price of Aesthetic Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aesthetic Medical Intl performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aesthetic Medical Backtesting, Aesthetic Medical Valuation, Aesthetic Medical Correlation, Aesthetic Medical Hype Analysis, Aesthetic Medical Volatility, Aesthetic Medical History as well as Aesthetic Medical Performance.
  
The Aesthetic Medical's current Price Earnings Ratio is estimated to increase to -3.49. The current Price To Sales Ratio is estimated to decrease to 0.40. Please specify Aesthetic Medical's target price for which you would like Aesthetic Medical odds to be computed.

Aesthetic Medical Target Price Odds to finish below 2.01

The tendency of Aesthetic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 2.01  after 90 days
 0.33 90 days 2.01 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aesthetic Medical to stay under $ 2.01  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Aesthetic Medical Intl probability density function shows the probability of Aesthetic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aesthetic Medical Intl price to stay between its current price of $ 0.33  and $ 2.01  at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Aesthetic Medical Intl has a beta of -1.15. This suggests Additionally Aesthetic Medical Intl has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Aesthetic Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aesthetic Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aesthetic Medical Intl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aesthetic Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.336.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.248.66
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.288.008.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aesthetic Medical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aesthetic Medical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aesthetic Medical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aesthetic Medical Intl.

Aesthetic Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aesthetic Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aesthetic Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aesthetic Medical Intl, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aesthetic Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.82
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-1.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Aesthetic Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aesthetic Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aesthetic Medical Intl can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aesthetic Medical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aesthetic Medical has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Aesthetic Medical has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Aesthetic Medical has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has 393.1 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 4.2, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Aesthetic Medical Intl has a current ratio of 0.19, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Aesthetic Medical until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aesthetic Medical's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aesthetic Medical Intl sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aesthetic to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aesthetic Medical's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 670.09 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (94.17 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 355.59 M.
Aesthetic Medical Intl has about 26.23 M in cash with (75.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.16, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Aesthetic Medical has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Aesthetic Medical International Holdings Group Limited Sees Significant Growth in Short Interest - Defense World

Aesthetic Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aesthetic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aesthetic Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aesthetic Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments12.2 M

Aesthetic Medical Technical Analysis

Aesthetic Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aesthetic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aesthetic Medical Intl. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aesthetic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aesthetic Medical Predictive Forecast Models

Aesthetic Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aesthetic Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aesthetic Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aesthetic Medical Intl

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aesthetic Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aesthetic Medical Intl help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aesthetic Medical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aesthetic Medical has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Aesthetic Medical has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Aesthetic Medical has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has 393.1 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 4.2, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Aesthetic Medical Intl has a current ratio of 0.19, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Aesthetic Medical until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aesthetic Medical's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aesthetic Medical Intl sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aesthetic to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aesthetic Medical's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 670.09 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (94.17 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 355.59 M.
Aesthetic Medical Intl has about 26.23 M in cash with (75.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.16, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Aesthetic Medical has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Aesthetic Medical International Holdings Group Limited Sees Significant Growth in Short Interest - Defense World
When determining whether Aesthetic Medical Intl offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Aesthetic Medical's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Aesthetic Medical Intl Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Aesthetic Medical Intl Stock:

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When running Aesthetic Medical's price analysis, check to measure Aesthetic Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aesthetic Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Aesthetic Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aesthetic Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aesthetic Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aesthetic Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aesthetic Medical's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aesthetic Medical. If investors know Aesthetic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aesthetic Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
12.19
Earnings Share
(0.39)
Revenue Per Share
17.449
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
(0.04)
The market value of Aesthetic Medical Intl is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aesthetic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aesthetic Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aesthetic Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aesthetic Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aesthetic Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aesthetic Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aesthetic Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aesthetic Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.