ALBIS Leasing (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.85
| ALG Stock | EUR 2.12 0.02 0.95% |
ALBIS |
ALBIS Leasing Target Price Odds to finish over 3.85
The tendency of ALBIS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 3.85 or more in 90 days |
| 2.12 | 90 days | 3.85 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ALBIS Leasing to move over € 3.85 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This ALBIS Leasing AG probability density function shows the probability of ALBIS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ALBIS Leasing AG price to stay between its current price of € 2.12 and € 3.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.15 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ALBIS Leasing AG has a beta of -0.57. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ALBIS Leasing are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ALBIS Leasing AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ALBIS Leasing AG has an alpha of 0.1333, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ALBIS Leasing Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ALBIS Leasing
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ALBIS Leasing AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ALBIS Leasing's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ALBIS Leasing Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ALBIS Leasing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ALBIS Leasing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ALBIS Leasing AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ALBIS Leasing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
ALBIS Leasing Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ALBIS Leasing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ALBIS Leasing AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ALBIS Leasing AG has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| ALBIS Leasing AG has accumulated about 22.37 M in cash with (6.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.27. | |
| Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
ALBIS Leasing Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ALBIS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ALBIS Leasing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ALBIS Leasing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.2 M |
ALBIS Leasing Technical Analysis
ALBIS Leasing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ALBIS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ALBIS Leasing AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing ALBIS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ALBIS Leasing Predictive Forecast Models
ALBIS Leasing's time-series forecasting models is one of many ALBIS Leasing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ALBIS Leasing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ALBIS Leasing AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about ALBIS Leasing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ALBIS Leasing AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ALBIS Leasing AG has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| ALBIS Leasing AG has accumulated about 22.37 M in cash with (6.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.27. | |
| Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out ALBIS Leasing Backtesting, ALBIS Leasing Valuation, ALBIS Leasing Correlation, ALBIS Leasing Hype Analysis, ALBIS Leasing Volatility, ALBIS Leasing History as well as ALBIS Leasing Performance. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Complementary Tools for ALBIS Stock analysis
When running ALBIS Leasing's price analysis, check to measure ALBIS Leasing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ALBIS Leasing is operating at the current time. Most of ALBIS Leasing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ALBIS Leasing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ALBIS Leasing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ALBIS Leasing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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