ALNPY Pink Sheet Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 4.49

ALNPY Stock  USD 4.22  0.09  2.18%   
ANA Holdings' future price is the expected price of ANA Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ANA Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please continue to ANA Holdings Backtesting, ANA Holdings Valuation, ANA Holdings Correlation, ANA Holdings Hype Analysis, ANA Holdings Volatility, ANA Holdings History as well as ANA Holdings Performance. Please specify ANA Holdings time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like ANA Holdings odds to be computed.

ANA Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 4.49

The tendency of ALNPY Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 4.49  after 90 days
 4.22 90 days 4.49 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ANA Holdings to stay under $ 4.49  after 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This ANA Holdings probability density function shows the probability of ALNPY Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ANA Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 4.22  and $ 4.49  at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.39 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ANA Holdings has a beta of 0.46. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ANA Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ANA Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0152, implying that it can generate a 0.0152 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ANA Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ANA Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ANA Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of ANA Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of ANA Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
2.674.225.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
2.694.245.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.664.215.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.044.154.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ANA Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ANA Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ANA Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in ANA Holdings.

ANA Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ANA Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ANA Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ANA Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ANA Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.015183
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.039091

ANA Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ANA Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ANA Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ANA Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1020.32 B. Net Loss for the year was (143.63 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (29.09 B).
ANA Holdings has accumulated about 1030 B in cash with (76.41 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 438.46, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

ANA Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ALNPY Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ANA Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ANA Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments951 B

ANA Holdings Technical Analysis

ANA Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ALNPY Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ANA Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing ALNPY Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ANA Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

ANA Holdings time-series forecasting models is one of many ANA Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary ANA Holdings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ANA Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about ANA Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ANA Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ANA Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1020.32 B. Net Loss for the year was (143.63 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (29.09 B).
ANA Holdings has accumulated about 1030 B in cash with (76.41 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 438.46, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Please continue to ANA Holdings Backtesting, ANA Holdings Valuation, ANA Holdings Correlation, ANA Holdings Hype Analysis, ANA Holdings Volatility, ANA Holdings History as well as ANA Holdings Performance. You can also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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When running ANA Holdings price analysis, check to measure ANA Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ANA Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of ANA Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ANA Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ANA Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ANA Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between ANA Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine ANA Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ANA Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.