Alx Oncology Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.15
| ALXO Stock | USD 16.21 0.74 4.37% |
Closest to current price Alx long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Alx |
Alx Oncology Target Price Odds to finish over 11.15
The tendency of Alx Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 11.15 in 90 days |
| 16.21 | 90 days | 11.15 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alx Oncology to stay above $ 11.15 in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Alx Oncology Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Alx Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alx Oncology Holdings price to stay between $ 11.15 and its current price of $16.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.41 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.07 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Alx Oncology will likely underperform. Additionally Alx Oncology Holdings has an alpha of 0.103, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alx Oncology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alx Oncology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alx Oncology Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alx Oncology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alx Oncology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alx Oncology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alx Oncology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alx Oncology Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alx Oncology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Alx Oncology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alx Oncology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alx Oncology Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alx Oncology had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (160.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 107 K. | |
| Alx Oncology Holdings currently holds about 313.37 M in cash with (130.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.69. | |
| Alx Oncology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: ALX Oncology reports Q1 results |
Alx Oncology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alx Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alx Oncology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alx Oncology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 182.7 M |
Alx Oncology Technical Analysis
Alx Oncology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alx Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alx Oncology Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alx Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alx Oncology Predictive Forecast Models
Alx Oncology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alx Oncology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alx Oncology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alx Oncology Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alx Oncology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alx Oncology Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alx Oncology had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (160.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 107 K. | |
| Alx Oncology Holdings currently holds about 313.37 M in cash with (130.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.69. | |
| Alx Oncology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: ALX Oncology reports Q1 results |
Check out Alx Oncology Backtesting, Alx Oncology Valuation, Alx Oncology Correlation, Alx Oncology Hype Analysis, Alx Oncology Volatility, Alx Oncology History as well as Alx Oncology Performance. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Complementary Tools for Alx Stock analysis
When running Alx Oncology's price analysis, check to measure Alx Oncology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alx Oncology is operating at the current time. Most of Alx Oncology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alx Oncology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alx Oncology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alx Oncology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Alx Oncology's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alx Oncology. If investors know Alx will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alx Oncology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.74) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (1.00) | Return On Assets (0.45) | Return On Equity (0.82) |
The market value of Alx Oncology Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alx that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alx Oncology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alx Oncology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alx Oncology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alx Oncology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alx Oncology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alx Oncology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alx Oncology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.